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Billionaire Investor Ray Dalio Says ‘Cash Is Still Trash’, Prefers ‘Digital Gold Bitcoin’

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Billionaire Investor Ray Dalio Says ‘Cash Is Still Trash’, Prefers ‘Digital Gold Bitcoin’

Billionaire investor and hedge fund manager, Ray Dalio, has reiterated his previous call that “cash is trash”. Dismissing equities as “trashier”, the Bridgewater Associates founder said he preferred “a digital gold like bitcoin” instead.

“Of course, cash is still trash,” Dalio said. “Do you know how fast you’re losing buying power in cash?” He was speaking on CNBC’s Squawk Box during the ongoing World Economic Forum (WEF) meeting in Davos, Switzerland.

“When I say cash is trash, what I mean is all currencies in [relation] to the euro, in relationship to the yen,” he explained. “All of those currencies like in the 1930s will be currencies that will go down in relationship to goods and services.”

Dalio is the founder of the world’s biggest hedge fund firm, Bridgewater Associates, which manages around $223 billion. In January 2020, the 72-year-old American investor advised people to diversify their portfolios by “getting out of cash”, which he called “trash”.

Bitcoin as ‘digital gold’

At Davos, Dalio spoke about a range of issues including stocks, the global economic outlook, and the U.S. central bank’s efforts to combat inflation. He said stock markets had become too crowded, and that compared to cash, “equities are trashier”.

“Everybody is long equities, and everybody wants everything to go up,” said Dalio. “The more they hype it the more it becomes somebody else’s financial asset they’re holding. You can’t have that, so you’re going to have an environment of negative real returns.”

For the billionaire, bitcoin (BTC) is a preferred form of investment at a time of worldwide economic uncertainty. His list of safe-haven assets also includes real estate and precious metals such as gold.

“I think blockchain’s great,” Dalio stated. He touted cryptocurrency’s potential as a fix to what he expects to be a tough year for the U.S. economy, marked by high inflation and a lack of real returns on investments. Continuing, he said:

“But let’s call it a digital gold. I think a digital gold, which would be a bitcoin kind of thing, is something that – probably in the interest of diversification of finding an alternative to gold – has a little spot relative to gold and then relative to other assets.”

Bitcoin’s inflation-hedge credentials under spotlight

Dalio’s comments come against the backdrop of rising disillusionment in the credentials of bitcoin as an inflation-hedge asset. Proponents have argued that bitcoin is a gold-like store of value.

In 2020, many people believed BTC was now poised to transition from a risk-on speculative asset to the crypto market’s version of the metal after its correlation to gold jumped to an all-time high.

But that argument may have started to fall apart with the massive decline in crypto markets this year. Bloomberg data shows that BTC’s correlation to gold dropped to almost zero earlier in January, and as bitcoin prices fell in later months, gold continued to rise.

In April, the 50-day correlation coefficient for BTC and gold was around minus 0.4, the lowest since 2018, Bloomberg said. A reading of 1 implies assets are moving in lockstep, and minus 1 is the reverse.

Crypto markets have become more tied to the stock market instead, particularly to blue-chip technology stocks such as Apple, Amazon, and Microsoft. More than $1.5 trillion has been wiped off the face of crypto markets so far this year.

Dalio forecasts ‘squeeze on demand’

Dalio, the Bridgewater Associates founder, painted a gloomy picture of the global economy in 2022. He expects inflation in the U.S and elsewhere around the world to erode the purchasing power of money, saying:

“We are in an environment that we are now going to ask ‘what is the new money?”

On bonds, he said: “The Federal Reserve is going to sell, individuals are selling, foreigners are selling, and the U.S. government is selling because it has to fund its deficit. So there’s going to be a supply/demand problem, that means that it produces a squeeze.”

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All the information contained on our website is published in good faith and for general information purposes only. Any action the reader takes upon the information found on our website is strictly at their own risk.

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When Will Bitcoin Bottom Out? Pi Cycle Bottom Says It Will Happen on July 9

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When Will Bitcoin Bottom Out? Pi Cycle Bottom Says It Will Happen on July 9

Many cryptocurrency enthusiasts have heard of the Pi Cycle Top indicator, which has “magically” predicted the peaks of several previous bull markets. However, few know that there is also its opposite, Pi Cycle Bottom, which also has some track record in trying to estimate the bottom of a bear market.

But before we take a closer look at Pi Cycle Bottom, let’s remind ourselves why its bullish nemesis has earned so much popularity.

The historic effectiveness of the Pi Cycle Top

We first wrote about the Pi Cycle Top on BeInCrypto over a year ago, when Bitcoin was close to reaching its previous all-time high (ATH). The indicator is based on the relationship between the double of the 350-day DMA and the 111-day DMA. The signal fired on April 12, 2021, and just two days later, Bitcoin reached a historic ATH of $64,900.

This high accuracy of the Pi Cycle Top was not an exception, as the indicator has been very effective in previous cycles as well. All 3 historical ATHs of previous bull markets coincided with the signal flashing up no more than 5 days before or after the peak.

Chart by Tradingview

The only ATH during which the Pi Cycle Top was far from crossed is the most recent one. On November 10, 2021, when BTC reached $69,000, the indicator failed to generate a signal. At the time, this was interpreted as a sign that the second wave of the bull market was not yet over. Today we know that the indicator failed in this case.

Pi Cycle Bottom and the end of a bear market

Pi Cycle Bottom is the opposite of Pi Cycle Top. The bearish version is the relationship between the 471 SMA and the 150 EMA. Moreover, the former is multiplied by a factor of 0.745. Not a very elegant construction, but historically quite effective.

As it turns out Pi Cycle Bottom indicator could be successfully used to estimate the area of the absolute bottom of two previous bear markets (blue lines).

The first time the 150 EMA fell below the 471 SMA was on January 16, 2015. This happened just two days after the absolute bottom of the BTC price at $152.

The second time the Pi Cycle Bottom generated the same signal was on December 16, 2018. This happened just one day after the absolute bottom of the previous bear market at $3122.

Chart by Tradingview

We are currently approaching the third signal in history and another bearish crossing of the two moving averages (blue circle).

When will Bitcoin bottom out?

If the relationship between the intersection of the two moving averages and the bottom of the BTC price repeats itself in this cycle, Bitcoin could soon reach the bottom of this bear market. Currently, the 150 EMA has begun the sharp decline characteristic of the recent capitulation phase. A crossover is likely in the coming days.

Cryptocurrency market analyst @TheRealPlanC tweeted his own prediction of the date of the intersection and reaching a hypothetical bottom for Bitcoin. Based on the movement trajectory of the two curves, he estimated that the intersection will occur on July 9, 2022.

Source: Twitter

If this were to happen, then in exactly 15 days the Pi Cycle Bottom would generate a signal that very accurately indicated the bottom of the BTC price in the previous two iterations.

One step further went another analyst @el_crypto_prof, who combined the potential signal from the Pi Cycle Bottom with a fractal analysis of previous cycles. In his opinion, if a potential Bitcoin bottom were to happen in the near future, it would fit well with analogies between previous cycles.

Source: Twitter

In the chart above, we can see that for the entire period from April 2021, the analyst includes the post-ATH correction phase highlighted in red. It also includes the latest ATH at $69,000 reached on November 10. Although technically a higher BTC price was reached then, many technical and on-chain indicators suggest that it was already a bear market.

Perhaps this was also the reason why the Pi Cycle Top did not generate a proper signal. If this is true and the correction in the BTC market has been going on for more than a year, then indeed we can soon expect an end to the long-term decline. The Pi Cycle Bottom indicator is just an additional layer of confluence that may make this scenario more likely.

For BeInCrypto’s latest Bitcoin (BTC) analysis, click here.

Disclaimer

All the information contained on our website is published in good faith and for general information purposes only. Any action the reader takes upon the information found on our website is strictly at their own risk.

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It seems NFT-themed Bored & Hungry restaurant no longer accepts crypto

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It seems NFT-themed Bored & Hungry restaurant no longer accepts crypto

The alleged removal is a bit strange considering Bored and Hungry only opened its doors back in April.

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It seems NFT-themed Bored & Hungry restaurant no longer accepts crypto

The Los Angeles Times reported Friday that recently opened NFT-themed burger joint Bored & Hungry no longer accepts cryptocurrency as a form of payment for its food.

When questioned, one Bored & Hungry employee told the Los Angeles Times “Not today — I don’t know.” The individual didn’t give any indication of when the decision was made to cut crypto from the menu of payment options, nor did they know if crypto payments would be making a return.

Bored & Hungry initially launched back in April of this year. At the time, one worker told the Los Angeles Times that the majority of its customers didn’t seem to care about crypto payment options, also noting that customers were generally indifferent to “the restaurant’s fidelity to the crypto cause.”

Another Bored & Hungry restaurant patron told the Los Angeles Times “People want to hold onto their ethereum. They’re not gonna want to use it.” Customer Richard Rubalcaba said, “I don’t know how [crypto purchases] would work, with the crash.”

Many of the restaurant’s patrons stated that they are not hardcore crypto enthusiasts, and simply frequent the establishment for the food. Customer Jessica Perez said, “We rate this up there with In-N-Out, maybe even better.”

Changes to venue’s payment policies seem to fall in line with the overarching crypto and macro economical meltdown transpiring across the globe. But never fear, hungry crypto users! You can still visit Chipotle, which began accepting crypto payments earlier in June via Flexa. Several countries are facing relentless regulations and scrutiny and there are issues of contagion in the crypto market.

Cointelegraph reached out to Bored and Hungry owner Andy Nguyen for clarification on the restaurant’s crypto acceptance, but did not receive a response prior to publication.

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Celsius Network hires advisers ahead of potential bankruptcy: Report

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Celsius Network hires advisers ahead of potential bankruptcy: Report

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