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Bitcoin Could be Entering an Accumulation Range – Three Arrows Capital Co-founder

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Bitcoin Could be Entering an Accumulation Range – Three Arrows Capital Co-founder

Summary:

  • Three Arrows Capital Co-Founder Zhu Su believes Bitcoin might have reentered an accumulation range.
  • According to his analysis, Bitcoin has had a record-breaking seven weeks in the red, signaling possible accumulation.
  • Bitcoin spot and derivatives volumes are also at their one-year highs.
  • Bitcoin is exhibiting some strength against stocks almost overnight
  • Earlier this week, Zhu Su confirmed that Three Arrows Capital had been hit hard by the depegging of UST and subsequent market sell-off and inflation of LUNA.

The Co-Founder of Three Arrows Capital, Zhu Su, is of the opinion that Bitcoin might have entered an accumulation range.

According to his analysis shared via Twitter, Bitcoin could be entering the accumulation range due to the record-breaking seven weeks that it has recently experienced. Also, Bitcoin spot and derivatives volume have both hit yearly highs during the Luna Foundation Guard liquidation of its 80k Bitcoin reserves.

Some signs #Bitcoin is re-entering an accumul range

1) 7weeks down, most in btc history

2) largest spot and deriv volume in a yr during lfg liquidation of 80k btc to 26k price

3) btc strength vs stocks overnight

4) Mayer multiple at lows

5) Asian hrs stronger than US hrs pic.twitter.com/FxIwnVHsoX

— Zhu Su 🔺🌕 (@zhusu) May 19, 2022

Bitcoin has Exhibited Strength Over Stocks.

Zhu Su pointed out that Bitcoin is exhibiting remarkable strength against stocks, and its Asian trading hours are now showing more strength than US trading hours.

Furthermore, he pointed to the recent 7k Bitcoin flow into Canada’s Purpose Bitcoin ETF during last week’s turmoil as a sign that buyers are stepping up at current BTC levels. He also shared the following reasons as to why he believes Bitcoin is likely in an accumulation range:

  • The resurgence of Tether FUD in the crypto markets is similar to late 2019, when the markets were cooling down after a year-long sell-off.
  • Bitfinex Bitcoin longs hitting new all-time highs.
  • Traders are now starting to short Bitcoin to hedge against private sales.

Possible White Swan Triggers for Bitcoin

Mr. Su also shared that there could be three White Swan events that could catalyze the accumulation of Bitcoin by retail traders, institutions, and even sovereign countries. The White Swan events include:

  • El Salvador’s Bitcoin conference hosting 44 global central banks
  • Potential of OPEC to use Bitcoin in international payments
  • Commodity nation sovereign wealth to conduct thesis-driven allocations of Bitocin

Three Arrows Capital Was Hit Hard by UST’s Depegging and LUNA’s Market Meltdown

Also worth mentioning is that in an earlier Tweet, Zhu Su had confirmed that Three Arrows Capital had suffered some losses due to UST’s depegging and the LUNA market meltdown that soon followed. He said:

Some ppl asked me why I am keeping luna in my profile Its bc i invested in it, believe in the community, and share in the common purpose.

The attacks and subsequent de-peg risks were flagged by critics; the fast-growing ecosystem shouldve done more to move slowly+safely.

This has been an incredibly humbling week and its difficult to find the right words.

The critics had genuine concerns about peg risks and going fwd discussion must be encouraged, “fud” must be met w refutations, growth must be organic even if slower.

This is Terra’s DAO hack moment I will not pretend to know what the future holds but I will do my part to help.

According to a Bloomberg report, Three Arrows Capital and Jump Crypto had participated in a $1 billion sale of LUNA tokens in February of this year.

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Ethereum

Crypto Community Holds its Breath as the EU Finalizes Regulations on PoW and Unhosted Wallets this Month

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Crypto Community Holds its Breath as the EU Finalizes Regulations on PoW and Unhosted Wallets this Month

Summary:

  • EU legislators are estimated to finalize regulations on proof-of-mining crypto activities and unhosted wallets by the end of June.
  • Such regulation will have enormous implications for the crypto industry in Europe and globally.

The crypto community is anxiously watching as EU legislators finalize regulations that will affect proof-of-mining activities and unhosted (non-custodial) wallets within the region.

According to Patrick Hansen, a Crypto Venture Advisor at Presight Capital, the two bills will most likely be finalized by the end of this month. Furthermore, their approvals as is, or with modifications, will ‘have huge implications for the crypto market in the EU and beyond.’

NFTs, Stablecoins, DeFi, and Environmental Impact Remain the Main Topics of the MiCA Bill.

For the MiCA bill, Mr. Hansen explains that the legislation is in the trialogue stage where all three EU institutions of the Council, Parliament, and Commission meet on June 30th to discuss and possibly agree on a few topics that need to be worked on further.

Firstly, the legislators need to decide whether NFTs fall under the MiCA bill and whether to include consumer protections. Secondly, stablecoins issuance will be determined, including the possibility of implementing thresholds and supervision.

Thirdly, the DeFi industry might just be exempt from the reach of the MiCA bill, with a separate report being scheduled for 2023. Fourthly, the environmental impact of crypto operations in the EU will be ironed out given that Europe’s legislators have already decided that it would not completely ban Proof-of-Work blockchains such as Bitcoin.

Proposal for AML and KYC Procedures When Transacting with Unhosted (Non-Custodial) Wallets.

For the EU proposed bill to implement AML and KYC procedures when transacting with unhosted (non-custodial) wallets, the region’s legislators still have the following to debate:

  • Verification of unhosted wallets. The EU parliament favors the proposal, but the Council and Commission are against it.
  • The EU council suggests that crypto-asset service providers implement on-chain analytics to address the AML risk.
  • There is also the debate on whether to keep the requirement to declare transactions over one-thousand euros to be reported to relevant authorities.

At the time of writing, it is not clear whether the EU legislators will agree on all the issues of the second bill regarding Un-hosted wallets. Consequently, deliberations could roll into the second half of the year.

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Ethereum

Harmony Protocol Offers $1M Bounty for the Return of Stolen Funds and Information on the Bridge Exploit

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Harmony Protocol Offers $1M Bounty for the Return of Stolen Funds and Information on the Bridge Exploit

Summary:

  • Harmony Protocol has offered a $1 million bounty for the return of the stolen funds from the hack of its Horizon bridge and for information on how it happened.
  • Harmony Protocols’ founder has so far identified compromised private keys as the most likely root cause of the exploit.

The team at Harmony Protocol has offered a $1 million bounty for the return of the $100 million in crypto stolen from the hack of its Horizon bridge.

The team at Harmony is also offering the same $1 million bounty for information on how the exploit happened. They also pointed out that ‘no criminal charges’ will be pursued once the funds are returned, as seen in the following tweet by the team.

We commit to a $1M bounty for the return of Horizon bridge funds and sharing exploit information.

Contact us at [email protected] or ETH address 0xd6ddd996b2d5b7db22306654fd548ba2a58693ac.

Harmony will advocate for no criminal charges when funds are returned.

— Harmony 💙 (@harmonyprotocol) June 26, 2022

Crypto Community Suggests $1M is too Low of an Incentive.

However, the $1 million bounty for the return of $100 million in stolen funds has been considered a drop in the ocean by the crypto Twitter community, who believe the offer should be much higher. Below are a few samples of the crypto-twitter community’s response to the $1 million bounty.

Didnt they take about 100 million ? What the hell is 1 million gonna do ? – by @pleasesendmebtc.

I doubt 1m will suffice the hacker, might need to up for and hope they answers and sadly big partial of my funds are in Aave Harmony, oh well – by @0xTusuki.

Really? Only 1M out of 100M? I feel like you gotta offer at least 8M to be taken seriously…- by @0xButthole

Harmony Protocol Founder Identifies Compromised Private Keys as the Probably Cause of the Hack.

In another Twitter thread, Harmony Protocol’s founder and CEO, Stephen Tse, explained that the team had so far not found any evidence that the $100 million exploit was caused by a malicious smart contract.

However, they had identified some evidence that compromised private keys caused it. He explained:

Incident response has found no evidence of smart contract code breach. No evidence of any vulnerability on the Horizon platform was found. Our consensus layer of the Harmony blockchain remains secure.

The team has found evidence that private keys were compromised, leading to the breach of our Horizon bridge. Funds were stolen from the Ethereum side of the bridge.

He also added that the private keys were encrypted and stored by Harmony using a passphrase and a key management system. But somehow, the attacker was able to access and decrypt several of these private keys, which were then used to sign unauthorized transactions, stealing BUSD, USDC, Ethereum, and WBTC from the Horizon bridge.

Mr. Tse also quickly pointed out that investigations into the incident are still ongoing.

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Ethereum

Morgan Creek Digital is Reportedly Planning to Raise $250M to Counter FTX’s BlockFi Bailout Offer

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Morgan Creek Digital is Reportedly Planning to Raise $250M to Counter FTX’s BlockFi Bailout Offer

Summary:

  • Morgan Creek Digital is reportedly looking to raise $250 million to counter FTX’s line of credit to BlockFi.
  • The move resulted from one of FTX’s terms for the credit line to BlockFi, to wipe out shareholders, including Morgan Creek Digital.

Morgan Creek Digital, the hedge fund founded by Mark Yusko, Jason Williams, and Anthony Pompliano, is reportedly looking to raise $250 million to counter FTX’s line of credit to BlockFi.

FTX’s Offer to Lend $250 Million to BlockFi Came With a Catch.

According to a report by Coindesk, Morgan Creek Digitial is rapidly trying to come up with an equity offer to counter that of FTX.

The report explains that according to Mark Yusko, the FTX credit line had a catch in that it would wipe out all BlockFi’s existing shareholders, giving the crypto exchange the option of buying BlockFi ‘at essentially zero price.’ FTX exercising the option would result in all BlockFi’s shareholders, including Morgan Creek Digital, losing all equity in the company.

In addition, Mr. Yusko acknowledged that at the time of the offer, BlockFi’s founders Zac Prince and Flori Marquez had a valid reason to consider it. FTX’s offer was the only one that would not subordinate clients’ assets to a potential rescuer. This means that other offers meant depositors and BlockFi clients would have to wait till the new lender recouped their investments to get back their assets on the platform.

FTX’s BlockFi Deal is Probably Three Days Away from Being Finalized.

Mark Yusko also told investors in a leaked call that the deal between FTX and BlockFI was probably three days away from being sealed. He added:

The only alternative is to raise an equivalent amount in equity and that’s what we’re working on. I would say it’s a 10% possibility but not zero.

Morgan Creek Digital Could Pursue a Joint Deal with FTX for BlockFi.

Also during the leaked call, Mr. Yusko floated the idea of a possible joint deal with FTX with both entities putting up a portion of the capital to ‘bail out’ BlockFi. He said:

I will definitely try to pursue [a joint deal]. Not that I have SBF on speed-dial, but I could probably get that call.

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