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Bitcoin Trades Raise El Salvador’s Risk Profile, Says Moody’s

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Bitcoin Trades Raise El Salvador’s Risk Profile, Says Moody’s

Trading Bitcoin is only worsening El Salvador’s already weak sovereign credit outlook, according to Moody’s Investor Services.

Trading Bitcoin “is quite risky, particularly for a government that has been struggling with liquidity pressures in the past,” said Moody’s analyst Jaime Reusche. He added that the government’s current Bitcoin holdings “certainly add to the risk portfolio.”

El Salvador’s current owns an estimated 1,391 Bitcoin, which at current prices amounts to just under $60 million. This amount clearly does not pose a major risk to the government’s financial stability, but this could be jeopardized by even further purchases. “If it gets much higher, then that represents an even greater risk to repayment capacity and the fiscal profile of the issuer,” Reusche said.  

While President Nayib Bukele has said that he buys Bitcoin through his phone, the government has published no official data on its holdings. In anticipation of El Salvador becoming the first country to accept Bitcoin as legal tender in September, Bukele first bought the cryptocurrency over the summer. Bukele then highlighted further purchases he made, buying the dip during successive drops in the price over the second half of last year. Moody’s estimates that El Salvador’s Bitcoin holdings could be down between roughly $10-20 million at current market prices.

Bitcoin & bonds

One particular reason for the concern is an $800 million bond El Salvador issued that will mature in January of next year. Because it is currently trading at 0.78 on the dollar, it has a high yield of over 35%, precluding the government from access to foreign bond markets. 

According to Moody’s, all these factors, in conjunction with an incomplete deal with the International Monetary Fund, have added to El Salvador’s risk of defaulting. Last July, Moody’s downgraded El Salvador to Caa1, reflecting a “very high credit risk,” citing a “deterioration in the quality of policymaking.”

In spite of these appraisals, Finance Minister Alejandro Zelaya believes that the adoption of Bitcoin has attracted foreign investment to the country. Last week, he introduced bills into the country’s legislature that would provide a legal framework for the issuance of a $1 billion 10-year denominated bond with a coupon of 6.5% Issued via Blockstream’s Bitcoin settlement system known as the Liquid Network, the government intends to use the funds to further facilitate the country’s Bitcoin usage.

“A decent amount of Bitcoin bonds could potentially help them with their liquidity pressures,” Reusche conceded. However, “unless Bitcoin bonds are very well received and oversubscribed, we are seeing that the probability of the need to restructure their traditional market bonds is increasing.”

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All the information contained on our website is published in good faith and for general information purposes only. Any action the reader takes upon the information found on our website is strictly at their own risk.

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Bitcoin (BTC) RSI and MACD Generate Bullish Divergences Near $40,000 Support

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Bitcoin (BTC) RSI and MACD Generate Bullish Divergences Near $40,000 Support

Bitcoin (BTC) indicators are showing several short-term bullish signals above a strong support level, making a breakout above resistance a likely scenario.

Since Jan 8, BTC has been trading slightly above the $41,500 mark. Despite slipping to a local low of $39,650 on Jan 10, it bounced immediately and created a very long lower wick. This shows a great deal of buying pressure at this level.

More importantly, both the RSI and MACD have generated significant bullish divergences (green lines). These divergences normally present before significant upward movements. 

If an upward move transpires, it’s likely to be met by resistance around $50,930. This target is both the 0.382 Fib retracement resistance level and part of a horizontal resistance area.

Short-term BTC movement

The six-hour chart shows that BTC has broken out from a descending resistance line and validated it as support after (green icon). 

After a brief rebound, BTC created a slightly lower low on Jan 19. This served to validate the $41,200 area as minor support. 

BTC is also following another descending resistance line (dashed) in the shorter term. A breakout above it would likely take the price to $45,850. This target is the minor 0.5 Fib retracement resistance level and a horizontal resistance area.

Finally, the two-hour chart shows that BTC is potentially trading inside a descending wedge, which is considered a bullish pattern. Currently, it’s approaching the end of this pattern which has been in place since Jan 13. 

Similar to the daily time frame, the RSI has generated a considerable bullish divergence, supporting the possibility of a breakout.

So, when taking into account the ample support just below the price and numerous bullish divergences, an eventual breakout seems like the most likely scenario. 

This is also in line with the short-term wave count.

For BeInCrypto’s previous Bitcoin (BTC) analysis, click here.

Disclaimer

All the information contained on our website is published in good faith and for general information purposes only. Any action the reader takes upon the information found on our website is strictly at their own risk.

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Singapore crypto ATMs shut down after central bank crackdown

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Singapore crypto ATMs shut down after central bank crackdown

The move is part of a broader effort by the Singaporean watchdog to regulate advertising cryptocurrency to the public.

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Singapore crypto ATMs shut down after central bank crackdown

The Monetary Authority of Singapore has reportedly decided to shut down cryptocurrency automatic teller machines in the city-state.

According to Bloomberg, to comply with new regulations issued by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS), Singapore’s central bank, cryptocurrency ATM operators in the country were forced to shut down their operations on Tuesday.

The new clampdown on cryptocurrency ATMs sparked several reactions from the city’s cryptocurrency operators, with Daenerys & Co saying it was “surprised” and canceling its ATM service on Tuesday evening. Its main competitor, Deodi, switched off its ATM network and sent staff to remove its crypto ATMs.

The move is part of a broader effort by the Singaporean watchdog to regulate advertising cryptocurrency to the public. On Monday, the central bank released new guidance that bans crypto firms from advertising their services in public places, websites and social networks.

Singapore’s souring on crypto, however, is more of a surprise. Coincub, a fintech startup based in the city-state, named Singapore the most crypto-friendly country in the world in December, owing to the city’s “good legislative environment” and “high rate of cryptocurrency adoption.” However, the legislative climate in the city-state appears to be cloudier right now.

Related: UK advertiser ASA continues crypto ad banning spree

Cointelegraph reached out to the MAS for more information but did not receive a response as of publishing time. This article will be updated if new details emerge.

The clampdown in Singapore came soon after similar advertising limitations were enacted in Spain and the United Kingdom. On Monday, the Spanish government required crypto businesses to submit ad campaigns for regulatory approval 10 days in advance, while the U.K. launched a review of cryptocurrency advertising norms, vowing to crack down on products with deceptive claims.

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Turkish ruling party holds meeting in metaverse, talks crypto regulation

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Turkish ruling party holds meeting in metaverse, talks crypto regulation

Turkey’s governing political party has discussed the upcoming crypto regulation in its first metaverse meeting.

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Turkish ruling party holds meeting in metaverse, talks crypto regulation

Ak Party, Turkey’s governing party, held its first metaverse meeting on Monday wherein it discussed upcoming crypto regulation. 

The Grand National Assembly of Turkey (TBMM) hosted its first meeting in the metaverse, Cointelegraph Turkey reported. Attending the virtual meeting were TBMM group deputy chairmen Mahir Ünal and Mustafa Elitaş along with Ömer İleri, the vice president of Ak Party responsible for information and communication technologies.

Physically, Elitaş attended the meeting from the parliament building, while Ünal and İleri were at the Ak Party (AKP) headquarters. Crypto regulation was the highlight of the meeting, Ünal told state-run news agency AA, adding that crypto assets require both financial and legal regulations.

Elitaş, who recently hosted a meeting with representatives from the Turkish crypto ecosystem at TBMM, stressed that it’s impossible to stay out of the virtual world. “I believe that metaverse-based meetings would be improved expeditiously and become an essential part of our lives,” he added.

Elitaş is also expected to meet with Binance Turkey on Thursday. As reported before, Binance Turkey was fined 8 million Turkish lira (about $600,000) after failing an audit for monitoring Anti-Money Laundering compliance.

As blockchain technology made digital ownership possible, Turkey has sped up its metaverse efforts, Öİleri said. Seeing the metaverse as a nascent yet quickly developing field, he predicted that it could impact many industries in the future.

Ak Parti olarak #Metaverse üzerinden ilk toplantımızı gerçekleştirdik. pic.twitter.com/19Xfd6sIWR

— AK Parti Bilgi İletişim Teknolojileri (@AKbilgitek) January 17, 2022

The metaverse is open for development in virtual reality, product management and innovative business models, İleri noted, adding that AKP wants to pave the way for a metaverse ecosystem.

Related: Turkey’s crypto law is ready for parliament, President Erdoğan confirms

İleri argued that digital and technological advancements have legal, economic and social aspects. The AKP is striving to develop policies regarding crypto assets and social media to protect the citizens while empowering Turkey’s innovation capabilities, he concluded.

While the Turkish government is keen on blockchain technology and a central bank digital currency, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is known for his stern stance against cryptocurrencies. Last year in a public Q&A session, he “declared war” on crypto, saying, “We have absolutely no intention of embracing cryptocurrencies.”

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