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Crypto Market Turning Point — Most Cryptocurrencies Down 57% to Over 80% From Price Highs

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Crypto Market Turning Point — Most Cryptocurrencies Down 57% to Over 80% From Price Highs

Crypto Market Turning Point — Most Cryptocurrencies Down 57% to Over 80% From Price Highs

Roughly six months ago, bitcoin and a number of digital assets reached all-time highs and the crypto economy crested above $3 trillion in value. Today is a different story as a great majority of cryptocurrencies are down between 57% to over 80% against the U.S. dollar.

While Cryptos Are Down From the ATHs, 2020 Holders Are Still in the Green

On November 9, 2021, or 196 days ago, the crypto economy was valued at over $3 trillion, and today it’s worth roughly 56% less at $1.31 trillion. Six months ago, bitcoin (BTC) touched an all-time high (ATH) at $69K per unit and today, it’s down more than 57% in USD value.

The second leading asset, ethereum (ETH), has lost 59.85% after reaching $4,847.57 per ether six months ago. The fourth-largest crypto asset BNB is down 52.65% after tapping $689 per unit. XRP is not even close to its January 07, 2018 ATH the digital asset tapped four years ago when it reached $3.40 per coin. XRP today is down more than 87% against the U.S. dollar from that point in time.

Crypto Market Turning Point — Most Cryptocurrencies Down 57% to Over 80% From Price Highs
Since November 10, 2021, or roughly six months ago, bitcoin (BTC) changed hands for $69K per unit. At the time of writing, bitcoin has lost more than 57% since its all-time price high.

Cardano (ADA) hit its ATH nine months ago at $3.10 per ADA and currently, ADA is down 83.5% against the U.S. dollar. Solana (SOL) touched its ATH seven months ago and is down 81.5% in USD value.

The tenth-largest crypto asset today, dogecoin (DOGE) is down 88.8% from the meme coin’s ATH a year ago. While prices are down since 2021’s high, crypto investors that purchased digital assets in 2020 have seen it their cryptocurrencies rise. For instance, the price of bitcoin (BTC) since 2020 is up 303.28% and ethereum (ETH) is up 465.70%.

The same can be said for many of the top coins today. Binance’s BNB token has jumped 173.53% in two years and cardano (ADA) is up 443.83%. Gains are even bigger for those who purchased crypto assets in 2017 as bitcoin (BTC) is up 1,294.85% since that year. The second leading crypto asset ethereum (ETH) is up 8,985.15% since 2017 against the U.S. dollar.

XRP holders have seen the most gains since 2017 as XRP has skyrocketed in value by 31,346.47% during the last four years. 2017 was a bullish time for crypto investors as BTC hit an all-time price high that year at $20K per unit and 2021 was similar in terms of bullish price values.

Crypto’s Strong Correlation With Stocks, 289-Day Bear Runs, and Further Capitulation

Market strategists believe most bear markets have a duration of just under 9.5 months. Moreover, in recent times cryptocurrencies have been correlated with equities markets and more specifically stock indexes like Nasdaq 100 and the S&P 500. This could mean that the crypto bear market won’t end until the stock market bear run is finished.

Bank of America strategists recently detailed that the S&P 500 has recorded a total of 19 bear market cycles. The average duration for each cycle was roughly 289 days and the S&P 500’s average bottom was 37.3% lower than the ATH.

If cryptocurrencies are to follow the pattern, it could mean the bearish sentiment could last another three months longer, if history repeats and digital assets continue to follow the current correlation with equities. Unfortunately for crypto investors, S&P 500’s average drop of 37.3% is nothing like the lows the crypto economy has seen during extreme capitulation. Three bitcoin (BTC) bottoms have been more than 80% lower than the ATHs recorded during the bull cycle.

While the top ten crypto assets are down 57% to over 80% already, prices could go much lower. An 80% drawdown from BTC’s $69K high would be $13,800 per unit and an 80% cut in ether’s ATH value would result in a price of $970.

Currently, crypto assets like BTC and ETH are seemingly at a turning point that will take the value one of three ways. For example, the price of bitcoin could consolidate in this region for quite some time, the price could also rise again back into a bullish scenario, or the value drops even lower from here resulting in more capitulation.

What do you think about crypto assets being down 57% to over 80% lower than their price highs? Let us know what you think about this subject in the comments section below.

Jamie Redman

Jamie Redman is the News Lead at Bitcoin.com News and a financial tech journalist living in Florida. Redman has been an active member of the cryptocurrency community since 2011. He has a passion for Bitcoin, open-source code, and decentralized applications. Since September 2015, Redman has written more than 5,000 articles for Bitcoin.com News about the disruptive protocols emerging today.

Image Credits: Shutterstock, Pixabay, Wiki Commons

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. It is not a direct offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation or endorsement of any products, services, or companies. Bitcoin.com does not provide investment, tax, legal, or accounting advice. Neither the company nor the author is responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods or services mentioned in this article.

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When Will Bitcoin Bottom Out? Pi Cycle Bottom Says It Will Happen on July 9

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When Will Bitcoin Bottom Out? Pi Cycle Bottom Says It Will Happen on July 9

Many cryptocurrency enthusiasts have heard of the Pi Cycle Top indicator, which has “magically” predicted the peaks of several previous bull markets. However, few know that there is also its opposite, Pi Cycle Bottom, which also has some track record in trying to estimate the bottom of a bear market.

But before we take a closer look at Pi Cycle Bottom, let’s remind ourselves why its bullish nemesis has earned so much popularity.

The historic effectiveness of the Pi Cycle Top

We first wrote about the Pi Cycle Top on BeInCrypto over a year ago, when Bitcoin was close to reaching its previous all-time high (ATH). The indicator is based on the relationship between the double of the 350-day DMA and the 111-day DMA. The signal fired on April 12, 2021, and just two days later, Bitcoin reached a historic ATH of $64,900.

This high accuracy of the Pi Cycle Top was not an exception, as the indicator has been very effective in previous cycles as well. All 3 historical ATHs of previous bull markets coincided with the signal flashing up no more than 5 days before or after the peak.

Chart by Tradingview

The only ATH during which the Pi Cycle Top was far from crossed is the most recent one. On November 10, 2021, when BTC reached $69,000, the indicator failed to generate a signal. At the time, this was interpreted as a sign that the second wave of the bull market was not yet over. Today we know that the indicator failed in this case.

Pi Cycle Bottom and the end of a bear market

Pi Cycle Bottom is the opposite of Pi Cycle Top. The bearish version is the relationship between the 471 SMA and the 150 EMA. Moreover, the former is multiplied by a factor of 0.745. Not a very elegant construction, but historically quite effective.

As it turns out Pi Cycle Bottom indicator could be successfully used to estimate the area of the absolute bottom of two previous bear markets (blue lines).

The first time the 150 EMA fell below the 471 SMA was on January 16, 2015. This happened just two days after the absolute bottom of the BTC price at $152.

The second time the Pi Cycle Bottom generated the same signal was on December 16, 2018. This happened just one day after the absolute bottom of the previous bear market at $3122.

Chart by Tradingview

We are currently approaching the third signal in history and another bearish crossing of the two moving averages (blue circle).

When will Bitcoin bottom out?

If the relationship between the intersection of the two moving averages and the bottom of the BTC price repeats itself in this cycle, Bitcoin could soon reach the bottom of this bear market. Currently, the 150 EMA has begun the sharp decline characteristic of the recent capitulation phase. A crossover is likely in the coming days.

Cryptocurrency market analyst @TheRealPlanC tweeted his own prediction of the date of the intersection and reaching a hypothetical bottom for Bitcoin. Based on the movement trajectory of the two curves, he estimated that the intersection will occur on July 9, 2022.

Source: Twitter

If this were to happen, then in exactly 15 days the Pi Cycle Bottom would generate a signal that very accurately indicated the bottom of the BTC price in the previous two iterations.

One step further went another analyst @el_crypto_prof, who combined the potential signal from the Pi Cycle Bottom with a fractal analysis of previous cycles. In his opinion, if a potential Bitcoin bottom were to happen in the near future, it would fit well with analogies between previous cycles.

Source: Twitter

In the chart above, we can see that for the entire period from April 2021, the analyst includes the post-ATH correction phase highlighted in red. It also includes the latest ATH at $69,000 reached on November 10. Although technically a higher BTC price was reached then, many technical and on-chain indicators suggest that it was already a bear market.

Perhaps this was also the reason why the Pi Cycle Top did not generate a proper signal. If this is true and the correction in the BTC market has been going on for more than a year, then indeed we can soon expect an end to the long-term decline. The Pi Cycle Bottom indicator is just an additional layer of confluence that may make this scenario more likely.

For BeInCrypto’s latest Bitcoin (BTC) analysis, click here.

Disclaimer

All the information contained on our website is published in good faith and for general information purposes only. Any action the reader takes upon the information found on our website is strictly at their own risk.

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It seems NFT-themed Bored & Hungry restaurant no longer accepts crypto

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It seems NFT-themed Bored & Hungry restaurant no longer accepts crypto

The alleged removal is a bit strange considering Bored and Hungry only opened its doors back in April.

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It seems NFT-themed Bored & Hungry restaurant no longer accepts crypto

The Los Angeles Times reported Friday that recently opened NFT-themed burger joint Bored & Hungry no longer accepts cryptocurrency as a form of payment for its food.

When questioned, one Bored & Hungry employee told the Los Angeles Times “Not today — I don’t know.” The individual didn’t give any indication of when the decision was made to cut crypto from the menu of payment options, nor did they know if crypto payments would be making a return.

Bored & Hungry initially launched back in April of this year. At the time, one worker told the Los Angeles Times that the majority of its customers didn’t seem to care about crypto payment options, also noting that customers were generally indifferent to “the restaurant’s fidelity to the crypto cause.”

Another Bored & Hungry restaurant patron told the Los Angeles Times “People want to hold onto their ethereum. They’re not gonna want to use it.” Customer Richard Rubalcaba said, “I don’t know how [crypto purchases] would work, with the crash.”

Many of the restaurant’s patrons stated that they are not hardcore crypto enthusiasts, and simply frequent the establishment for the food. Customer Jessica Perez said, “We rate this up there with In-N-Out, maybe even better.”

Changes to venue’s payment policies seem to fall in line with the overarching crypto and macro economical meltdown transpiring across the globe. But never fear, hungry crypto users! You can still visit Chipotle, which began accepting crypto payments earlier in June via Flexa. Several countries are facing relentless regulations and scrutiny and there are issues of contagion in the crypto market.

Cointelegraph reached out to Bored and Hungry owner Andy Nguyen for clarification on the restaurant’s crypto acceptance, but did not receive a response prior to publication.

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Celsius Network hires advisers ahead of potential bankruptcy: Report

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Celsius Network hires advisers ahead of potential bankruptcy: Report

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