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Morgan Stanley Analyst Says Crypto Economy’s Liquidity Improved, but There’s ‘No Huge Demand to Re-Leverage’

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Morgan Stanley Analyst Says Crypto Economy’s Liquidity Improved, but There’s ‘No Huge Demand to Re-Leverage’

Morgan Stanley Analyst Says Crypto Economy's Liquidity Improved, but There's 'No Huge Demand to Re-Leverage'

An analyst at the New York-based financial services and investment management company Morgan Stanley detailed on Monday that crypto liquidity seems to be recovering. Morgan Stanley’s Sheena Shah highlighted in a note to investors that the stablecoin market capitalization is seeing fewer redemptions for the first time since April.

Morgan Stanley Investors’ Note Says Crypto Winter Could Be Thawing, but Re-Leverage Demand Is Still Non-Existent

The crypto winter may be starting to warm as institutional investors have halted the redemption of the crypto economy’s top two stablecoins, according to a recent analysis written by Morgan Stanley’s cryptocurrency research lead Sheena Shah. The analyst based in the U.K., further said that demand has also slipped among investors searching for leverage. There’s been a massive shortfall in decentralized finance (defi) lending Shah detailed.

“There doesn’t seem to be huge demand to re-leverage in the crypto world at this moment,” Shah remarked in the investors’ note published on Monday. “It will be hard for this crypto cycle to bottom without fiat leverage growing or crypto leverage growing,” the lead cryptocurrency analyst at Morgan Stanley added.

Morgan Stanley Analyst Says Crypto Economy's Liquidity Improved, but There's 'No Huge Demand to Re-Leverage'
BTC/USDT hourly chart on August 22, 2022, at 12:35 p.m. (EST) on Monday afternoon.

Morgan Stanley’s Sha explained that last week the overall stablecoin market valuation, which is currently valued at $153.26 billion, did not slide in value for the first time since April 2022. The Morgan Stanley analyst said that “extreme institutional deleveraging” has taken a brief hiatus for the time being. Current market data shows, that over the last 30 days the market capitalization of tether (USDT) has risen by 2.6%, while usd coin (USDC) is down by 4.6%.

The Morgan Stanley crypto researcher noticed the USDC market valuation slide, and further noted that it started during the first week of July. “The fall in USDC market cap started ahead of the regulatory change and looks similar to the decline seen earlier in the year between March and May,” Shah’s note to investors explains.

September Is Traditionally a Sour Month for Crypto, But Some Believe The Merge Could Change the 4-Year Trend

The crypto economy took some losses this weekend as the value dropped from $1.18 trillion to $1.06 trillion by Monday afternoon (EST). People expect the crypto economy could falter even lower in September, as the month is traditionally a bad month in terms of crypto market history. On August 21, the Twitter account called Bleeding Crypto discussed how September was sour for crypto during the last four years in a row.

“Each year we see how bad September is for crypto, but you want to believe that ‘This time it’s different’ — You can choose to stick your head in the sand, I’ll choose to listen to the market,” Bleeding Crypto tweeted. Despite the lower crypto price values, market participants do believe this September might be different.

Morgan Stanley Analyst Says Crypto Economy's Liquidity Improved, but There's 'No Huge Demand to Re-Leverage'
September bitcoin charts shared by the Twitter account Bleeding Crypto on August 21, 2022.

That’s because The Merge is expected to take place on September 15, and it’s been assumed that ethereum (ETH) may skyrocket in value with the rest of the crypto economy lifting as a byproduct. However, It’s quite possible The Merge is already priced in as ETH saw significant gains last month which bolstered the crypto economy at the same time.

What do you think about the Morgan Stanley analyst’s note about crypto liquidity and the fewer stablecoin redemptions? Let us know what you think about this subject in the comments section below.

Jamie Redman

Jamie Redman is the News Lead at Bitcoin.com News and a financial tech journalist living in Florida. Redman has been an active member of the cryptocurrency community since 2011. He has a passion for Bitcoin, open-source code, and decentralized applications. Since September 2015, Redman has written more than 5,700 articles for Bitcoin.com News about the disruptive protocols emerging today.

Image Credits: Shutterstock, Pixabay, Wiki Commons

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. It is not a direct offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation or endorsement of any products, services, or companies. Bitcoin.com does not provide investment, tax, legal, or accounting advice. Neither the company nor the author is responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods or services mentioned in this article.

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4 On-Chain Metrics Show the Bitcoin Price Is Primed for Bullish Explosion

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4 On-Chain Metrics Show the Bitcoin Price Is Primed for Bullish Explosion

Amid recent macroeconomic extremes, Bitcoin has maintained a quiet stance, almost eerie for its HODLers. Nonetheless, its hashrate and accumulation are soaring — what could this mean for its price?

Bitcoin has been consolidating in a narrow range between $18,800 and $20,200 since the mid-Sept price fall. In volatile markets like cryptocurrency, similar quiet periods of consolidation are rare. 

Recent Glassnode findings show that the current BTC price action resembles both pre-crash November 2018 and pre-rally March 2019. Despite price downturns, mining and accumulation statistics are improving. Let’s look into what this means for the health of the network.

Bitcoin hashrate makes new ATH 

Last week, the Bitcoin hashrate made a new all-time high of 242 exahashes per second.

Source: Glassnode

In the chart below, we can see that Bitcoin’s longer-term, slower hash ribbon was once again overtaken by the faster ribbon, indicating improved mining conditions in late August. Since the price saw no major uptick during this time, the rise in hashrate was likely due to more efficient mining hardware and more mining rigs working in general.

Source: Glassnode

Historically, these hash ribbon moving average swaps precede price gains. Historically, when the hash-rate drops and subsequently recovers, major BTC price bottoms have been made. 

Is a price bottom in?

Apart from the hashrate, Bitcoin accumulation levels also reached a 7-year high. CryptoQuant data shows that 6-month-old and older Bitcoins now make up 74% of the realized cap. During the 2019 and 2015 bottoms, this score sat at 70% and 77%, respectively.

Source: CryptoQuant 

Lastly, for the first time in this cycle, the percentage of supply in loss has reached the 50% level.

CryptoQuant data shows that the price bottoms during previous cycles normally occur when the percentage of supply in loss reaches 50% or more.

Source: CryptoQuant

The current data shows the highest percentage of losses at 52% on the daily chart, 50.4% on the weekly (7DMA), and 48% on the monthly (30DMA). 

While quite a few metrics suggest that BTC should be near a bottom, the overall momentum will likely still depend on macroeconomic conditions as well as its correlation with the Nasdaq and S&P 500. 

Disclaimer

All the information contained on our website is published in good faith and for general information purposes only. Any action the reader takes upon the information found on our website is strictly at their own risk.

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Bitcoin price sees first October spike above $20K as daily gains hit 5%

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Bitcoin price sees first October spike above $20K as daily gains hit 5%

BTC price action sees a new October peak amid a declining U.S. dollar and a successful prior day’s trading for U.S. equities.

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Bitcoin price sees first October spike above K as daily gains hit 5%

Bitcoin (BTC) saw its first trip above $20,000 on Oct. 4 as traders expected familiar resistance to cap gains.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

Multi-week dollar lows fuel Bitcoin bulls

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/United States dollar climbing prior to the Wall Street open, up over 5% in 24 hours.

The pair had shaken off macroeconomic concerns at the start of the week, with trouble at Credit Suisse and the escalating Russia-Ukraine conflict failing to slow performance.

Now, the short-term analysis focused on a run potentially topping out closer to $21,000 — as was the case late last month, as sell-side pressure at that level remained significant.

“20500-21000 is a sell zone. If price gets there, which should, don’t be too bullish,” popular trader Il Capo of Crypto told Twitter followers on the day.

Razzoorn, an analyst at international trade group The Birb Nest, noted that the current charge was Bitcoin’s fifth attempt at escaping a major liquidity cloud in several weeks.

Despite the potentially limited upside opportunity, Bitcoin rallied in line with a broader risk asset tide which saw United States equities finish noticeably higher the day prior.

At the same time, the U.S. dollar suffered, the U.S. dollar index (DXY) extending losses to approach 111 points and threaten support in place since mid-September.

U.S. dollar index (DXY) 1-day candle chart. Source: TradingView

“Up the market goes,” a more optimistic Michaël van de Poppe, CEO and founder of trading platform Eight, continued:

“Flipping $19,500 for support. Now, if range-high at $19,600 holds for Bitcoin, I assume we’ll continue towards $22,400.”

Altcoins attempt to change sticky trend

Across major altcoins, it was Ether (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) leading daily performance at the time of writing. 

Related: CoinShares’ Butterfill suggests ’continued hesitancy’ among investors

ETH/USD traded above $1,350, still yet to break out of its sideways trend in place for several weeks since major losses entered during the post-Merge breakdown.

ETH/USD 1-day candle chart (Binance). Source: TradingView

XRP, on the other hand, faced a more stubborn band of resistance after prior gains, bouncing off multi-week support just below $0.45.

XRP/USD 1-day candle chart (Binance). Source: TradingView

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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McDonald’s starts to accept Bitcoin and Tether in Swiss town

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McDonald’s starts to accept Bitcoin and Tether in Swiss town

The global fast food chain is among the first to participate in a crypto-friendly experiment in the town of Lugano.

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McDonald’s starts to accept Bitcoin and Tether in Swiss town

Multinational fast food chain McDonald’s started to accept Bitcoin (BTC) as a payment method in the 63,000-populated city of Lugano in Italian Switzerland, which is becoming a hotspot for crypto adoption in Western Europe. 

A one-minute video of ordering food on McDonald’s digital kiosk and then paying for it at the regular register with the help of a mobile app was uploaded on Twitter by Bitcoin Magazine on Oct. 3. The Tether (USDT)  logo could be spotted next to the Bitcoin symbol on the credit cash machine, which is not surprising, as in March 2022 the city of Lugano announced it would accept Bitcoin, Tether and the LVGA token as a legal tender.

On March 3, 2022, the city signed a memorandum of understanding with Tether Operations Limited, launching the so-called “Plan B.” According to this plan, Tether has created two funds — the first one is a $106 million, or 100 million Swiss francs, investment pool for crypto startups, and the second is around $3 million, or 3 million Swiss francs, attempt to encourage the adoption of crypto for shops and businesses across the city.

In addition to allowing Lugano residents to pay their taxes using crypto, the project will extend payments to parking tickets, public services and tuition fees for students. More than 200 shops and businesses in the area are also expected to accept crypto payments for goods and services.

Related: Swiss Post’s banking arm developing in-house crypto custody platform

Speaking to Cointelegraph in June, Paolo Ardoino, chief technology officer of Tether and Bitfinex, claimed that Plan B “is going great,” announcing a two-week educational activity on blockchain and cryptocurrencies in the city.

In September 2021 El Salvador became the first country in the world to allow using Bitcoin as a legal tender. Since that time, McDonald’s has been accepting Bitcoin at all its 19 outlets in the country.

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