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MyEtherWallet launches multi-chain wallet extension for Polkadot (DOT): Enkrypt

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MyEtherWallet launches multi-chain wallet extension for Polkadot (DOT): Enkrypt

In collaboration with the Web3 Foundation and Parity Technologies, MyEtherWallet creates user-friendly web extension to access Polkadot…

MyEtherWallet launches multi-chain wallet extension for Polkadot (DOT): Enkrypt

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Bit Coin

Altcoin Season 2022: Is This the Beginning of Big Gains for Alts?

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Altcoin Season 2022: Is This the Beginning of Big Gains for Alts?

Altcoin enthusiasts have experienced a lot of suffering in 2022. Not only has the BTC price fallen drastically over the past 10 months, but the valuation of most altcoins against Bitcoin has also collapsed sharply.

Everyone is asking the question: When is the altcoin season 2022? In today’s analysis, BeInCrypto addresses this issue by looking at the chart of altcoin market capitalization, altcoin season indicators, and the valuation of ETH against BTC. As a result, it appears that perhaps the worst period for altcoins is over, and the market stands on the verge of a massive altcoin season in 2022.

TOTAL2 begins upward impulse

If we look at the chart of the altcoin market capitalization (TOTAL2), we see that it has been generating only green candles for the past 6 weeks. This probably means that we are currently in the first wave of an upward impulse, which began with a bottom at $427.5 billion on June 18, 2022. So far, altcoin market capitalization has increased by almost 60%, reaching a peak of $693 billion.

However, prior to that, altcoins, like the BTC market, experienced a sharp decline from the all-time high (ATH) of $1.7 trillion on November 10, 2021. Since then, the altcoin index has fallen along a descending resistance line (blue) and has been repeatedly rejected by it (red circles).

Then, in March, TOTAL2 broke out of this line (green arrow), suggesting that the altcoin season 2022 had begun. The rise did not last long, however, as just three weeks later the index reached a local peak at $1.27 trillion and began an accelerated decline.

It led to reaching the aforementioned June low. This time the blue resistance line turned into support (R/S flip) and had already been validated twice. However, before that, there was a significant breakdown from the long-term support line, which had been in place since February 2021 (orange line and arrow).

Currently, the line is expected to act as resistance and is currently located at around $1.05 trillion. In addition, it is near the 0.5 Fib retracement level, measured for the entire drop from the ATH.

TOTAL2 chart by Tradingview

Cryptocurrency market analyst @StockmoneyL tweeted a 5-day chart of TOTAL2. He compares the fractals of the current altcoin market and the 2018-2021 period with each other. The analyst points out the analogous structure, which in the coming weeks could lead to large increases and a booming altcoin season in 2022. Interestingly, if the fractal were to repeat again, the nearest resistance would be around $1 trillion.

Source: Twitter

Altcoin season 2022 is already on!

The analysis of the altcoin market capitalization chart and the similarities with the previous cycle are not the only reasons behind the continuation of altcoin price increases. According to data from BlockchainCenter, the altcoin season 2022 has just begun.

Their daily updated altcoin season chart indicates that the index entered altcoin dominance territory in early August. As we read on their website:

“If 75% of the Top 50 coins performed better than Bitcoin over the last season (90 days) it is Altcoin Season.”

On August 10, the altcoin season index they created recorded a near-maximum value of 98. These levels have not been seen since the April-June 2021 period. Thus, if the index remains above the value of 75 for the next few weeks, we may experience a strong altcoin season 2022 in the near future.

Source: www.blockchaincenter.net

In addition, the site posts an overview of the TOP 50 cryptocurrencies for the last 90 days and compares them with the change in Bitcoin’s price. It turns out that BTC lost -20.2% in the ongoing season, while most altcoins recorded increases or lost less.

Among the leaders are CEL (342%), ETC (109%), UNI (71%) and LINK (20%). Also, some of the largest projects were ahead of Bitcoin, even though they experienced declines, such as ADA (-3.1%), ETH (-5.5%) and XRP (-12.6%).

Source: www.blockchaincenter.net

Ethereum leaves Bitcoin behind

Another indicator of a potential altcoin season in 2022 is the performance of Ethereum (ETH), which is the largest altcoin, against BTC. The technical analysis of Ethereum against the USD indicates that there has been a dynamic rise in the ETH price in recent weeks. In addition, it is possible that the RSI has made a breakout from the long-term resistance line and may continue to rise all the way to the $2100 level.

If we now look at the relation to BTC, the weekly chart provides an even more bullish perspective. ETH/BTC has been rising since the bottom at 0.05 BTC, which previously served as resistance. Validation of this area was a bullish signal that initiated the ongoing rise.

Currently, ETH is at 0.081 BTC, rising 66% from the aforementioned low. Moreover, this week’s large green candle led to a breakout above the resistance area at 0.075 BTC (red line), which had previously repeatedly rejected the price (blue arrows).

Technical indicators confirm the initiation of a bullish trend. The RSI has broken out both above the falling resistance line (blue) and the 50 level. Meanwhile, the MACD has recently made a bullish cross and is generating increasingly higher bars of upward momentum. All these developments are strong signals for continued upward momentum.

ETH/BTC chart by Tradingview

Cryptocurrency analyst @el_crypto_prof has drawn a monthly chart of ETH/BTC, in which he suggests that we are on the verge of a huge increase in Ethereum’s valuation against Bitcoin. He pointed out parallels in the fractals of historical upward waves, stating that today’s price action corresponds to the period of early 2017 (orange ellipses).

According to his prediction, ETH could see a 379% rise from the bottom in the coming months and reach 0.25 BTC. If this is indeed to be the case, Ethereum’s rise would be a powerful catalyst for altcoin season 2022.

Source: Twitter

For Be[In]Crypto’s latest Bitcoin (BTC) analysis, click here.

Disclaimer

All the information contained on our website is published in good faith and for general information purposes only. Any action the reader takes upon the information found on our website is strictly at their own risk.

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Bit Coin

BTC On-Chain Analysis: Puell Multiple Confirms Bitcoin Has Reached Macro Bottom

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BTC On-Chain Analysis: Puell Multiple Confirms Bitcoin Has Reached Macro Bottom

Today’s on-chain analysis highlights the famous Puell Multiple indicator, which has broken out of the oversold area in recent days. Historically, the move was a signal confirming that Bitcoin’s macro bottom had been reached.

Reaching a bottom by Bitcoin’s price does not necessarily mean the immediate start of an uptrend. Looking at the behavior of the Puell Multiple after leaving the oversold area, we see that each time the indicator had to test and validate the area of its breakout. For the BTC price, this meant about a 3-month accumulation.

What is Puell Multiple?

Puell Multiple was created by analyst David Puell. It is one of the indicators of the health of Bitcoin miners. It expresses the ratio between the daily value of Bitcoin issuance (in USD) and the 365-day moving average of the daily value of issuance. This simple relationship provides an elegant tool for assessing market cycles from the perspective of miners’ profitability.

In an on-chain analysis last month, BeInCrypto noted that Puell Multiple has reached an oversold level that has historically corresponded to the macro lows of bear markets (green circles). This area is within the green range of 0.3-0.5.

In contrast, the upper red range of 4-10 was reached during the historical peaks of bull markets (red circles). In the chart below, we use the 14-day Puell Multiple average to reduce the noise and look at the long-term trend.

Chart by Glassnode

Current readings and comparison with the COVID-19 crash

Looking at the current readings, we see that Puell Multiple has just broken out of the green oversold area (blue arrow). Of course, the breakout from the oversold area was made possible by the rise in the BTC price, which is today about 36% above its June 18 bottom at $17,622.

It is interesting to compare the current movement of the Puell Multiple with the previous situation when the indicator left the green area. This occurred during the COVID-19 crash in March-June 2020, when Bitcoin reached a macro bottom at $3782 (red circle).

However, the Puell Multiple did not fall into oversold territory until a few weeks later (green circle). By then, Bitcoin was already in the middle of a V-shaped recovery, rising by about 150% and leading the indicator to break out of the green oversold area. We are seeing a similar pattern today.

Chart by Glassnode

Waiting for a retest

Looking once again at the long-term chart of the Puell Multiple, we see a certain correlation between a breakout from the green area and the price of BTC. First of all, every time after a breakout, the indicator seems to return to confirm the oversold area (blue rectangle). It doesn’t always do it exactly and touch the green area, but the corrective movement after the first upward phase is clear.

Then, after confirming the oversold area as support, the Puell Multiple continues its upward movement. Interestingly, the rise of the indicator in the first weeks is not correlated with the rise of the BTC price. During this period, Bitcoin always undergoes a roughly 3-month accumulation phase, which begins a few weeks after the macro bottom is generated (yellow rectangle).

If a similar situation were to repeat now, the start of an uptrend for BTC could be initiated around October-November 2022. In addition, it would be worth waiting for the aforementioned retest of the Puell Multiple indicator, which would have to hold above the green oversold area. A clear consolidation of the indicator and the BTC price would be strong indications for the thesis that BTC reached a macro bottom in June.

Chart by Glassnode

For Be[in]Crypto’s latest Bitcoin (BTC) analysis, click here.

Disclaimer

All the information contained on our website is published in good faith and for general information purposes only. Any action the reader takes upon the information found on our website is strictly at their own risk.

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Ethereum

Michael Saylor “I’d Rather Win in Volatile Fashion Than Lose Slowly, Sell your Gold”

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Michael Saylor “I’d Rather Win in Volatile Fashion Than Lose Slowly, Sell your Gold”
  • Microstrategy’s Former CEO Michael Saylor pointed out in a recent interview for Stansberry Research that he would rather win in a volatile fashion than lose slowly. 
  • Saylor continues to say that the volatility will only impact short-term investors and public companies. Bitcoin has outperformed every single company on the stock market in a longer timeframe. 

MicroStrategy’s Former CEO and well-known Bitcoin advocate Michael Saylor addressed in a recent interview with Stansberry Research that he still believes in Bitcoin in the long term.

My discussion with @DanielaCambone on $MSTR volatility & performance, my role at @MicroStrategy, the future of #Bitcoin, Stablecoins, Altcoins, & Gold, as well as thoughts on regulation, macroeconomics, wealth preservation, and an engineer’s common sense definition of recession. https://t.co/hFCnR9eEd7

— Michael Saylor⚡️ (@saylor) August 13, 2022

According to Saylor, since MicroStrategy adopted the Bitcoin Strategy, Bitcoin has heavily outperformed the S&P 500, Nasdaq, Gold, Bond Index, and any Big Tech Stocks. He says that the only stock that has outperformed Bitcoin in this period is Microstrategy’s stock, MSTR.

Michael Saylor

When asked if he thinks Bitcoin’s volatility is for everyone and some market participants cannot handle the extreme volatility, Saylor provides the below response.

“The way to think about investing in Bitcoin is, you should only invest what you will hold for four years or longer; ideally, it’s generational wealth transfer. The metric you want to stare at is the simple four-year moving average.” If you have a short time frame, it is going to be much more stressful because it is a volatile asset. “

Saylor continues to highlight that Microstrategy has outperformed every asset, even the prominent big tech companies. He would rather win in a volatile fashion than lose in a non-volatile way.

Saylor’s Reasoning Behind Crypto’s Recent Downfall

Saylor firmly believes that the events that caused crypto’s recent downfall were triggered by the incoming interest rates and the tightening of the fed. The next catalyst was the big Terra Luna Meltdown, which affected a lot of cryptos. He believes that an algorithmic stablecoin was an accident waiting to happen.

Saylor’s opinion is that these events needed to happen to flush out the industry’s bad actors. Market participants are now more educated and cautious about banking applications that provide huge yields.

“If you believe in sound money, you should sell your gold and buy bitcoin.” says Saylor.

Saylor Recently Stepped Down as MicroStrategy CEO to Focus on Bitcoin

After 33 years of being CEO of MicroStrategy, Micheal Saylor stepped down recently instead of taking the role of executive chairman. Phong Le, MicroStrategy’s current president, will take his role as CEO. MicroStrategy’s message to investors was that Saylor is to continue to provide oversight of the company’s bitcoin acquisition strategy as head of the Board’s Investments Committee.

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