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On-Chain Analysis: BTC Drop Liquidates $165M in Long Positions

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On-Chain Analysis: BTC Drop Liquidates $165M in Long Positions

In today’s on-chain analysis, BeInCrypto looks at the indicator of long and short liquidations in Bitcoin futures. In the face of big moves in the BTC price over the past few days, both bulls and bears have lost funds.

First, a bullish engulfing candle on May 4 triggered the liquidation of $45.5 million in short positions. But the very next day an even larger bearish engulfing candle liquidated as much as $165 million long positions. Looking ahead to price action throughout 2022, Bitcoin is in a clear sideways trend.

Analysis of BTC price movement

Since the beginning of 2022, Bitcoin has been in a sideways trend, which some analysts call a crab market. BTC reached a low of $32,933 on January 24 and a peak of $48,280 on March 28. The trading range is therefore about $15,000, or 46.5% measured from bottom to peak.

Since the one-year peak, there has been a multi-week decline that has brought the BTC price to its current level near $36,000, or -25.5%. It is worth mentioning that Bitcoin has not closed a daily candle below the important support level at $35,000 in 2022.

Chart by Tradingview

The last 3 days have been full of violent moves of BTC both up and down. On May 4, Bitcoin generated a bullish engulfing candle with a magnitude above 5% (green arrow). Although usually, such a candle is a continuation signal of an upward move, a sharp decline occurred a day later.

On May 5, Bitcoin formed a large bearish engulfing candle of 7.9% (red arrow). Not only did the decline completely negate the previous day’s increases, but it also led to the loss of a rising support line (yellow). It was in place from the yearly low of January 24.

Long liquidations

In an environment of such a volatile Bitcoin market, we have recently seen huge liquidations of futures contracts. However, due to the larger downward movement, traders in long positions have suffered the most losses.

According to data from CoinGlass, the total liquidation of long positions on May 5 was nearly $165 million. This is the highest value since January 21, when BTC generated more than 10% bearish candle with the highest trading volume this year.

Chart by CoinGlass

Also high, albeit slightly lower than the one above, readings are provided by a chart from Glassnode. According to this on-chain data provider, the total long liquidations of Bitcoin futures contracts were nearly $127 million on the day of the decline. The difference in these values is probably due to the different range of exchanges that the two analyst firms take into account.

Chart by Glassnode

Short Liquidations

Despite the record liquidation of long positions, also traders betting on decreases did not avoid substantial losses recently. The reason, of course, was the bullish engulfing candle of May 4.

According to data from CoinGlass, on that day short liquidations were recorded at the level of $45.5 million. On the other hand, according to Glassnode, short liquidations amounted to $25 million. It is worth mentioning that traders betting on declines last suffered bigger losses on April 25, when BTC broke out above $40,000.

Chart by Glassnode

Crab market

There is another interesting indicator that shows well how much today’s situation resembles a sideways crab market. It is the so-called Futures Long Liquidations Dominance.

This indicator measures the percentage of long liquidations, i.e. long liquidations / (long liquidations + short liquidations). A level of 50% means that the same number of long and short liquidations took place. Values above 50% mean more long positions were liquidated, and values below 50% mean more short positions were liquidated.

Looking at the chart of this indicator over the last month, we can see that it behaves almost like a perfect oscillator. This means that both sides – bulls and bears – systematically lose. This is a typical sign of a sideways trend.

Chart by Glassnode

An interesting poll was conducted on Twitter by well-known on-chain analyst @TXMCtrades, who works with Glassnode on a daily basis. On May 5, he asked his followers a question about the sentiment over the next 12 months regarding risky assets.

A slight majority indicated a crab market (38.3%), ahead of a bull market (37.1%), and a bear market (24.6%). The survey was statistically valid with 1915 respondents.

Twitter sentiment check:

Over the next 12 months, on risk assets you are a…

— TXMC (@TXMCtrades) May 4, 2022

For BeInCrypto’s latest Bitcoin (BTC) analysis, click here.

Disclaimer

All the information contained on our website is published in good faith and for general information purposes only. Any action the reader takes upon the information found on our website is strictly at their own risk.

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Miami’s Mayor Remains Unfazed by Crypto Crash, Still Receives His Paycheck in Bitcoin

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Miami’s Mayor Remains Unfazed by Crypto Crash, Still Receives His Paycheck in Bitcoin

Despite the tragedy of TerraUSD (UST) de-pegging and the subsequent chaos that plagued the cryptocurrency markets, Miami’s mayor remains resolute in receiving his salary in Bitcoin, but it seems he has other streams of income.

At the World Economic Forum (WEF), Miami Mayor Francis Suarez told attendees of a panel that he was still receiving his paycheck in Bitcoin and has no plans to stop. Suarez’s comments are coming on the heels of plummeting cryptocurrency prices over the last few months with Bitcoin down by over 30% in the last 2 months.

The Mayor told the audience that he remains unperturbed by the mayhem in crypto streets and will continue accepting his salary in Bitcoin. A reason for his cool, calm, and collected nerves is because of his multiple income streams that might serve as a buffer during volatile moments.

“I will note, for the record, that it’s not my only salary,” said Suarez. “It’s a different decision than if a person was deciding to take their salary in Bitcoin if it was the only source of income for them.”

Mayor Suarez drew the attention of cryptocurrency enthusiasts last year when he announced that he will begin taking his entire paycheck as Mayor in Bitcoin. Before the announcement, Suarez publicly announced his desire to pay government employees in Bitcoin as part of efforts to improve crypto adoption in the city. 

Making Miami the crypto capital of the U.S. 

Mayor Suarez has been making moves to make Miami a leading crypto hub since his assumption of office. The city has been receptive to cryptocurrency miners, and there have been conversations about allowing citizens to pay bills and taxes with crypto.

“I want us to differentiate ourselves as a crypto capital of the United States or the world,” he said in an interview with Bloomberg.

Suarez has been backing his claim with actions, with the city famously launching MiamiCoin which netted the city over $5.2 million. In November 2021, there were plans for the city to distribute $21 million to Miami’s citizens through the ambitious plans to create a digital wallet for each citizen.

Miami was the center of attention after successfully hosting the Bitcoin 2022 conference. Major players in Bitcoin’s ecosystem like MicroStrategy’s CEO Michael Saylor, ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood, billionaire Peter Thiel, CEO of Strike Jack Mallers, and others. Nayib Bukele, El Salvador’s pro-Bitcoin president, was scheduled to make an appearance but pulled out due to unforeseen circumstances.

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Billionaire Investor Ray Dalio Says ‘Cash Is Still Trash’, Prefers ‘Digital Gold Bitcoin’

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Billionaire Investor Ray Dalio Says ‘Cash Is Still Trash’, Prefers ‘Digital Gold Bitcoin’

Billionaire investor and hedge fund manager, Ray Dalio, has reiterated his previous call that “cash is trash”. Dismissing equities as “trashier”, the Bridgewater Associates founder said he preferred “a digital gold like bitcoin” instead.

“Of course, cash is still trash,” Dalio said. “Do you know how fast you’re losing buying power in cash?” He was speaking on CNBC’s Squawk Box during the ongoing World Economic Forum (WEF) meeting in Davos, Switzerland.

“When I say cash is trash, what I mean is all currencies in [relation] to the euro, in relationship to the yen,” he explained. “All of those currencies like in the 1930s will be currencies that will go down in relationship to goods and services.”

Dalio is the founder of the world’s biggest hedge fund firm, Bridgewater Associates, which manages around $223 billion. In January 2020, the 72-year-old American investor advised people to diversify their portfolios by “getting out of cash”, which he called “trash”.

Bitcoin as ‘digital gold’

At Davos, Dalio spoke about a range of issues including stocks, the global economic outlook, and the U.S. central bank’s efforts to combat inflation. He said stock markets had become too crowded, and that compared to cash, “equities are trashier”.

“Everybody is long equities, and everybody wants everything to go up,” said Dalio. “The more they hype it the more it becomes somebody else’s financial asset they’re holding. You can’t have that, so you’re going to have an environment of negative real returns.”

For the billionaire, bitcoin (BTC) is a preferred form of investment at a time of worldwide economic uncertainty. His list of safe-haven assets also includes real estate and precious metals such as gold.

“I think blockchain’s great,” Dalio stated. He touted cryptocurrency’s potential as a fix to what he expects to be a tough year for the U.S. economy, marked by high inflation and a lack of real returns on investments. Continuing, he said:

“But let’s call it a digital gold. I think a digital gold, which would be a bitcoin kind of thing, is something that – probably in the interest of diversification of finding an alternative to gold – has a little spot relative to gold and then relative to other assets.”

Bitcoin’s inflation-hedge credentials under spotlight

Dalio’s comments come against the backdrop of rising disillusionment in the credentials of bitcoin as an inflation-hedge asset. Proponents have argued that bitcoin is a gold-like store of value.

In 2020, many people believed BTC was now poised to transition from a risk-on speculative asset to the crypto market’s version of the metal after its correlation to gold jumped to an all-time high.

But that argument may have started to fall apart with the massive decline in crypto markets this year. Bloomberg data shows that BTC’s correlation to gold dropped to almost zero earlier in January, and as bitcoin prices fell in later months, gold continued to rise.

In April, the 50-day correlation coefficient for BTC and gold was around minus 0.4, the lowest since 2018, Bloomberg said. A reading of 1 implies assets are moving in lockstep, and minus 1 is the reverse.

Crypto markets have become more tied to the stock market instead, particularly to blue-chip technology stocks such as Apple, Amazon, and Microsoft. More than $1.5 trillion has been wiped off the face of crypto markets so far this year.

Dalio forecasts ‘squeeze on demand’

Dalio, the Bridgewater Associates founder, painted a gloomy picture of the global economy in 2022. He expects inflation in the U.S and elsewhere around the world to erode the purchasing power of money, saying:

“We are in an environment that we are now going to ask ‘what is the new money?”

On bonds, he said: “The Federal Reserve is going to sell, individuals are selling, foreigners are selling, and the U.S. government is selling because it has to fund its deficit. So there’s going to be a supply/demand problem, that means that it produces a squeeze.”

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Polkadot parachains spike after the launch of a $250M aUSD stablecoin fund

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Polkadot parachains spike after the launch of a $250M aUSD stablecoin fund

Crypto prices have been exploring new lows for weeks and currently it’s unclear what it will take to reverse the trend. Despite the downtrend, cryptocurrencies within the Polkadot (DOT) ecosystem began to rally on May 24 and have managed to maintain gains ranging from 10% to 25%, a possible sign that certain sub-sectors of the market are on the verge of a breakout.

Here’s a look at three Polkadot ecosystem protocols that have seen their token prices trend higher in recent days.

Acala launches a $250 million aUSD ecosystem fund

Acala (ACA) is the leading decentralized finance (DeF) platform on the Polkadot network, primarily due to the launch of aUSD, the first native stablecoin in the Polkadot ecosystem.

Following the collapse of Terra’s LUNA and TerraUSD (UST), traders were searching for “safer” stablecoin options.

On March 23, ACA rallied after the project announced the launch of a $250 million “aUSD Ecosystem Fund” that aims to support early-stage startups planning to build strong stablecoin use cases on any Polkadot or Kusama parachain.

— Acala (@AcalaNetwork) March 23, 2022

Acala also announced the launch of a kickoff rewards program that has set aside 1 million ACA tokens as rewards for LCDOT/DOT, LCDOT/aUSD, ACA/aUSD and aUSD/LDOT liquidity providers.

Following the aUSD ecosystem fund announcement, the price of ACA spiked 31% from a low of $0.364 on May 23 to a daily high of $0.478 on May 24.

Astar rallies after revealing a partnership with Microsoft

The Astar (ASTR) network is a smart contract hub for the Polkadot community that supports Ethereum (ETH), WebAssembly and other layer-two solutions like zk-Rollups.

Since the Polkadot relay chain doesn’t offer Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) support, Astar was created to become a multi-chain smart contract platform capable of supporting multiple blockchains and virtual machines so that they can integrate with the Polkadot ecosystem.

On May 24, it was revealed that AstridDAO, an Astar-based protocol responsible for minting the collateralized BAI stablecoin, had signed a partnership with Microsoft to become part of Microsoft for Startups, an initiative “which removes traditional barriers to building a company with exclusive access to technology, coaching, marketing and support.”

— AstridDAO – No.1 native stablecoin on Astar (@AstridDAO) May 24, 2022

If successful, the partnership should accelerate AstridDAO’s go-to-market speed and maximize its market influence. It also includes up to $350,000 worth of benefits through Github Enterprise, Microsoft Teams and Azure credits.

Following the partnership announcement, the price of ASTR spiked 61% from $0.055 to a daily high of $0.0888.

Related: Polkadot vs. Ethereum: Two equal chances to dominate the Web3 world

Uniswap v3 to deploy on Moonbeam

Moonbeam (GLMR) is an Ethereum-compatible smart contract parachain on Polkadot that streamlines the use of Ethereum developer tools to build or redeploy Solidity projects in a substrate-based environment.

Interoperability with the Ethereum network is a highly sought-after capability since a majority of decentralized applications currently operate on Ethereum along with a majority of the value in decentralized finance.

The benefit of EVM interoperability was demonstrated with the May 24 announcement that a proposal to deploy Uniswap (UNI) v3 on the Moonbeam network passed, meaning that the top decentralized exchange in the crypto ecosystem will soon be accessible to Moonbeam users.

— Uniswap Labs (@Uniswap) May 23, 2022

Following the announcement, the price of GLMR climbed 29% from a low of $1.15 on May 23 to a daily high at $1.48 on May 24 as its 24-hour trading volume increased 106% to $75.3 million.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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