fbpx
Connect with us

Bit Coin

Price analysis 10/4: BTC, ETH, BNB, ADA, SOL, XRP, DOT, DOGE, LUNA, UNI

Published

on

Price analysis 10/4: BTC, ETH, BNB, ADA, SOL, XRP, DOT, DOGE, LUNA, UNI

Bitcoin (BTC) is facing rejection near $50,000, indicating that bears are not ready to give up without a fight. Many analysts expect Bitcoin to soar in the last quarter of the year and stock-to-flow model creator PlanB says the “worst-case scenario” for Bitcoin in October is $63,000 and $98,000 by November.

PlanB is not alone in his bullish projection. Using Bitcoin’s relative strength index (RSI) indicator during the four-year cycle, Twitter commentator TechDev suggests that the second leg of the 2021 bull run may just be getting started. The trader expects Bitcoin’s cycle top to be around $200,000.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

While historical projections may be pointing for a rally in the last quarter, the rise may not be linear. The United States equity market’s volatility in October is 36% higher than the average for the remaining 11 months, according to CFRA chief investment strategist Sam Stovall. Due to Bitcoin’s high correlation with the S&P 500, traders may be in for a roller coaster ride in October.

Could Bitcoin follow its historical precedence and rally to the upside? And will altcoins join in on the party? Let’s study the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

BTC/USDT

The bulls pushed Bitcoin above the overhead resistance at $48,843.20 on Oct. 3 but the long wick on the day’s candlestick indicates that bears are defending the level aggressively. The price has been trading between the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ($46,667) and $48,843.20 for the past two days.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If bulls drive and sustain the price above the overhead resistance, the BTC/USDT pair could pick up momentum and rally to $50,000 and later to $52,920.

The 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ($45,478) has turned up and the RSI is in the positive territory, indicating the path of least resistance is to the upside.

Contrary to this assumption, if bears pull the price below the 50-day SMA, the pair could drop to the 20-day EMA. A bounce off this support will be a positive sign and the bulls will make one more attempt to clear the overhead hurdle.

The advantage will tilt in favor of the bears if the price breaks and sustains below the 20-day EMA. The pair could then drop to the 100-day SMA ($41,935).

ETH/USDT

The bulls pushed Ether (ETH) above the downtrend line and the moving averages on Oct. 1, but the bears have not thrown in the towel yet. The sellers are attempting to stall the up-move near $3,500 and pull the price back below the 50-day SMA ($3,297).

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If they manage to do that, the ETH/USDT pair could drop to the 20-day EMA ($3,194). This is an important support for the bulls to defend because a break below it could attract further selling. The pair may then drop to the psychological level at $3,000 and later to the 100-day SMA ($2,841).

Alternatively, if the price rebounds off the moving averages, the bulls may make one more attempt to propel the price above $3,500. If the price sustains above this resistance, the pair could rise to $3,676.28 and then to $4,000.

BNB/USDT

Binance Coin (BNB) has been facing strong resistance at the overhead resistance at $433 but the positive sign is that bulls have not given up much ground. This indicates that buyers are holding on to their positions as they anticipate a move higher.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The 20-day EMA ($395) has turned up and the RSI is in the positive territory, indicating a slight advantage to the bulls. If buyers drive and sustain the price above $433, the BNB/USDT pair could pick up momentum and rally to $518.90.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down from the current level, the pair may drop to the 20-day EMA. If the price rebounds off this level, the bulls will again try to push the pair above $433. A break and close below the 20-day EMA could keep the pair range-bound for a few days.

ADA/USDT

The bulls pushed Cardano (ADA) above the 20-day EMA ($2.25) for the past two consecutive days but they could not sustain the higher levels. This suggests that the sentiment remains negative and traders are defending the 20-day EMA.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The price turned down from the 20-day EMA on Oct. 4 and the bears will now try to sink the ADA/USDT pair to the critical support at $1.94. If this level gives way, the pair could witness aggressive selling and plummet to $1.60.

This negative view will invalidate if the price turns up from the current level or rebounds off the $1.94 support and rises above the 20-day EMA. The pair could then rally to the 50-day SMA ($2.46) where bears may again mount a stiff resistance. A break above this level could clear the path for an up-move to $2.97.

SOL/USDT

Solana’s (SOL) recovery reached the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $177.80 on Oct. 3. This level is acting as a stiff resistance and the bears are trying to pull the price to the 20-day EMA ($150).

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price rebounds off the current levels or the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that bulls are buying on dips. That will increase the possibility of a break above $177.80. If that happens, the SOL/USDT pair could rise to $200 and then retest the all-time high at $216.

Alternatively, if the price turns down from the current level and breaks below the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that traders are closing their positions. The pair may then drop to the 50-day SMA ($129) and later to $116.

XRP/USDT

RIpple (XRP) rose above the 20-day EMA ($1.01) on Oct. 1 and bulls tried to push the price above the $1.07 overhead resistance on Oct. 3. However, the long wick on the day’s candlestick suggests that bears are defending the 50-day SMA ($1.10) forcefully.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The price is currently stuck in the tight range between the 20-day EMA and the 50-day SMA. Both moving averages are flattish and the RSI is near the midpoint, indicating a balance between supply and demand.

This balance will tilt in favor of buyers if the price breaks and sustains above the 50-day SMA. The XRP/USDT pair could then start its journey toward the next resistance at $1.41.

On the contrary, if the price breaks and sustains below the 20-day EMA, the pair could drop to the 100-day SMA ($0.90). A break below this support could signal that bears are back in command.

DOT/USDT

Polkadot (DOT) broke above the moving averages and the downtrend line on Oct. 1, which was the first indication that bears may be losing their grip. The bulls tried to push the price above the right shoulder of the head and shoulders pattern on Oct. 2, but the long wick on the day’s candlestick indicates selling at higher levels.

DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The DOT/USDT pair formed a Doji candlestick pattern on Oct. 3, indicating indecision among the bulls and the bears. This uncertainty has resolved to the downside on Oct. 4 and the bears are trying to sink the price below the moving averages.

If they succeed, it will suggest that sentiment remains negative and traders are selling on rallies. The pair could then challenge the neckline of the H&S pattern.

Conversely, if the price rebounds off the moving averages, the bulls will once again try to propel the price above the right shoulder and retest the critical resistance at $38.77.

Related: Is Axie Infinity overheating? AXS price hits record high following 100% QTD rally

DOGE/USDT

Dogecoin (DOGE) recovered to the 20-day EMA ($0.22) on Oct. 1, but the bulls have not been able to sustain the price above this resistance in the past few days. This shows that sentiment is negative and bears are selling on rallies.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The long-legged Doji candlestick pattern on Oct. 4 shows that bulls are buying near the $0.21 support while bears are selling near the 100-day SMA ($0.24). If this uncertainty resolves to the downside, the DOGE/USDT pair could drop to $0.19 and then to $0.15.

On the contrary, if bulls drive and sustain the price above the 100-day SMA, the pair could rally to the downtrend line, which could again act as a stiff resistance. A break and close above this level will be the first indication that the correction may be ending.

LUNA/USDT

The long wick on the Oct. 3 candlestick suggests that bears attempted to defend the $45.01 level but they could not sustain the lower levels. Aggressive buying by the bulls on Oct. 4 pushed Terra protocol’s LUNA token to a new all-time high.

LUNA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If bulls sustain the price above $45.01, it will suggest the start of a new uptrend. The rising moving averages and the RSI in the positive zone indicate that bulls are in control. The LUNA/USDT pair could first rise to $50 and if this psychological hurdle is cleared, the next stop could be $65.

Conversely, if the price fails to sustain above $45.01, the bears will try to pull the price down to the 20-day EMA ($37.45). A strong bounce off this support will suggest that the positive sentiment is intact. The bears will have to sink and sustain the price below the 50-day SMA ($33.56) to gain the upper hand.

UNI/USDT

Uniswap (UNI) rose above the 50-day SMA ($25.46) on Oct. 2 but the long wick on the day’s candlestick suggests that bears sold at higher levels. The altcoin formed an inside-day candlestick pattern on Oct. 3, indicating indecision among bulls and bears.

UNI/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The uncertainty resolved to the downside and bears pulled the price to the 20-day EMA ($24.02) on Oct. 4, but a positive sign is that bulls bought the dip aggressively, as seen from the long tail on the day’s candlestick.

If the price sustains above $25, the bulls will again try to push the UNI/USDT pair above $27.62. Above this level, the pair could retest the critical resistance at $31.41.

On the other hand, if the price breaks below the moving averages, the pair could drop to $22. This is an important support for the bulls to defend because if it cracks, the decline could extend to $18.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Market data is provided by HitBTC exchange.

Go to Source

Bit Coin

Finance Committee Approves Legislation Delaying Crypto Tax in South Korea

Published

on

Finance Committee Approves Legislation Delaying Crypto Tax in South Korea

Finance Committee Approves Legislation Delaying Crypto Tax in South Korea

Changes meant to postpone the introduction of a tax on virtual assets such as cryptocurrencies in South Korea have been approved by an important parliamentary committee. The draft legislation seeks to delay Seoul’s plan to impose a 20-percent levy on gains from crypto transactions.

Ahead of Election, Major Parties Support Tax Break for Crypto Investors in South Korea

South Korean parliament is taking steps to suspend a planned tax on profits from digital asset investments for another year. The move has been supported by the ruling Democratic Party, despite disagreements with the government itself, as well as the leading opposition People Power Party.

The amendments, which also envisage the increase of an exemption on capital gains tax for real estate sales amid rising property prices, are viewed by Korean politicians as a popular proposition ahead of the upcoming presidential election in March next year, the Korea Joongang Daily noted in a report.

The Strategy and Finance Committee at the National Assembly passed the changes to the respective provisions during a meeting on Tuesday. The voting followed the approval of the revisions by its subcommittee on taxation during a session on Monday.

Authorities Need More Time to Set Up Taxation System for Crypto Assets

The two Korean parties have agreed to postpone the adoption of a 20% tax on annual profits from virtual asset investments exceeding 2.5 million won ($2,102). The government planned to introduce the tax on Jan. 1, 2022, but the recent voting indicates the tax is likely to be suspended until 2023.

The Democratic Party has been pushing for the delay as investments in cryptocurrencies have become quite popular with young voters who also find it very hard to save enough money for a home amid skyrocketing property prices. The party also hopes that the raising of the capital gains tax exemption for single residence owners who sell from a price of 900 million to 1.2 billion won ($1 million), will help to increase the availability of homes on the market.

DP representatives have argued that Korean tax authorities need more time to establish a proper tax system for virtual asset investing. However, Finance Minister Hong Nam-ki opposed the delay, stating that “The government is ready to immediately tax virtual assets.” He nevertheless noted that the executive power will comply with any decision by the parliament, which is expected to vote on the amendments in early December.

Do you think South Korean lawmakers will support the proposed amendments concerning crypto taxation? Tell us in the comments section below.

Image Credits: Shutterstock, Pixabay, Wiki Commons

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. It is not a direct offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation or endorsement of any products, services, or companies. Bitcoin.com does not provide investment, tax, legal, or accounting advice. Neither the company nor the author is responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods or services mentioned in this article.

Go to Source

Continue Reading

Bit Coin

Jack Dorsey Resigning as CEO of Twitter Is Bullish for Crypto, Says Fundstrat

Published

on

Jack Dorsey Resigning as CEO of Twitter Is Bullish for Crypto, Says Fundstrat

Jack Dorsey Resigns as CEO of Twitter — Fundstrat Says Bullish for Crypto

Twitter now has a new chief executive officer after Jack Dorsey resigned Monday. Dorsey, who is still the CEO of Square Inc., previously said that he wants to focus on bitcoin. Fundstrat Global Advisors’ managing director and head of research explained why Dorsey’s departure from Twitter is bullish for crypto.

Twitter Has New CEO: Jack Dorsey Steps Down

Jack Dorsey announced Monday that he has resigned from Twitter. In his letter to the Twitter team, the former CEO explained that it was his decision to leave. Parag Agrawal, who served as Twitter’s chief technology officer, is the new CEO. Dorsey is still the CEO of Square Inc., which is currently working on several bitcoin projects.

Tom Lee, managing partner and head of research at Fundstrat Global Advisors, believes that Dorsey’s resignation from Twitter is bullish for the crypto market. In an interview with CNBC Monday, he was asked what Dorsey’s exit from Twitter means for the bitcoin and cryptocurrency ecosystem.

Responding to the question, “Is it bullish for crypto?” Lee affirmed:

Yes, it’s bullish for crypto.

“One thing to keep in mind is that crypto is the intersection of financial services and technology. That’s literally 60% of the economy. Really, financial services is the other half of GDP, so it’s a huge market,” he elaborated. “And there isn’t enough capital allocated towards crypto innovation, so it takes people like Jack Dorsey to really marshal focus and I don’t think the space is overinvested yet.”

Lee added that it is still the earliest days for the crypto space, not only for projects like Bitcoin and Ethereum but also “the amount of crypto equities and businesses built around crypto.”

Earlier this month, Twitter set up a dedicated team to focus on cryptocurrency and decentralized apps.

Dorsey said at the Bitcoin 2021 Conference in June, “If I were not at Square or Twitter, I would be working on bitcoin.” The former Twitter CEO emphasized, “If [bitcoin] needed more help than Square or Twitter, I would leave them for bitcoin,” noting:

I don’t think there is anything more important in my lifetime to work on.

His other company, Square, is “focused on helping bitcoin reach a mainstream audience while at the same time strengthening the network and ecosystem,” Dorsey said during Square’s Q3 earnings call early this month. “Our focus is on helping bitcoin to become the native currency for the Internet … We have a number of initiatives toward that goal. Cash App is just one.”

Do you think Jack Dorsey resigning from Twitter is bullish for bitcoin and crypto? Let us know in the comments section below.

Image Credits: Shutterstock, Pixabay, Wiki Commons

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. It is not a direct offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation or endorsement of any products, services, or companies. Bitcoin.com does not provide investment, tax, legal, or accounting advice. Neither the company nor the author is responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods or services mentioned in this article.

Go to Source

Continue Reading

Bit Coin

RChain and Hoo: The Arrow Has Already Been on the String

Published

on

RChain and Hoo: The Arrow Has Already Been on the String

sponsored

On November 27th, 2021, RChain‘s founder Greg Meredith and blockchain scientist Atticbee were invited as guests to an AMA hosted by the Hoo Exchange. Hoo is a Dubai based innovation driven crypto exchange and has their in-house developed public chain, HSC, built for the global cryptocurrency market. In this session, Greg Meredith and Atticbee shared the latest developments in RChain and remarkable ideas about the future of the blockchain and metaverse.

RChain and Hoo: The Arrow Has Already Been on the String

RChain and Hoo: The Arrow Has Already Been on the String

Built as A Coordination Technology, Instead of Payment Platform

According to Greg, RChain focuses on blockchain as a coordination technology to provide a means for global coordination as conditions get more and more severe due to climate change. RChain is designed as a scalable global computer and storage mechanism, rather than a payments system. It is impossible to build a general purpose computer out of a cash register, while to build a cash register out of a general purpose computer is like a walk in the park.

This is the first blockchain that scales linearly. This means that as you add nodes/hardware it gets faster, not slower. The current test data shows that the testnet gets roughly 1,000 tps per node per CPU. So a network of 10 nodes with 10 CPUs each gets 10,000 tps. 20 nodes with 20 CPUs each gets 20,000 tps, etc. Data can be realistically stored, updated, and searched on-chain.

RChain’s smart contract language Rholang, is a concurrent transactional query language, reconciling the best of SQL and NoSQL. It means one can write sophisticated queries to search stored data, which distinguishes itself from systems like IPFS. Smart contracts can be statically checked for concurrency and security errors. So, errors like what caused the DAO bug will be caught at compile time not in deployment. Imagine what would have happened to Ethereum if they had been running at 40K tps when the DAO bug was exploited.

Synergy Between Metaverse and RChain

In the AMA Greg explained his long involvement in the metaverse area. He worked directly with the pioneers of VR/AR, was hired at the research lab where Kim Fairchild did SemNet, by Kim Fairchild himself. He also was the one who suggested to Alan Wexelblat the title Software.

However Greg expressed his concerns about our real world. Yes, the metaverse is hot, but planet Earth is even hotter. In fact, in as little as a decade we are likely to see more than 1.5C temperature rise making the tropical zone uninhabitable, with wet bulb conditions — where the humidity and temperature are so high your sweat cannot cool you off — making it so that people will not even know that they are dying of heat exposure. Unfortunately, about 40% of the world’s population lives in the tropical zone. So, in as little as 10 years, 2.8B people are going to become climate migrants. Unfortunately, those 2.8B people will not be able to move into the metaverse. It won’t be any cooler for the servers running the simulations.

Atticbee later commented that this question needs to be answered: what is the role of blockchain in the metaverse? If metaverse only uses blockchain to trade game props, virtual real estates etc as NFTs, then the current technology may be good enough, at least if the transaction volume is low. However if Metaverse tries to simulate the real world, and uses blockchain as the trustable computing layer, RChain’s computing model is much closer to how the real universe works than the state machine used by virtually all other projects. As Greg Meredith said before, evolution has already picked out the best concurrent computing model, and the sequential Turing machine is never the chosen one.

Also the underlying blockchain technology and the upper layer metaverse will mutually stimulate and evolve. Just like in history – when we only had steam engines, we could only build trains and ships. After we created the combustion engine, we could do cars, airplanes etc. Every tech breakthrough will open new doors for tomorrow’s world. With RChain’s concurrent computing, seamless sharding and on-chain storage, Metaverse will be reshaped by RChain’s breakthrough technology.

Click to Play VS Click to Pay

When asked about RChain’s plan for ecosystem development, Greg answered that RChain focuses on a transaction volume driven route.RChain is looking at applications, such as self-sovereign data, online advertising and sponsorship, and social networks that generate large transaction volumes. The economic argument is simple. Currently, proof-of-work miners are making millions per day. What would make them want to switch proof of stake validators? If you lower transaction costs, you are just going to cut into their profits. If you cut transaction costs by a factor of 100, but raise transaction volume by a factor of 1,000, then they stand to make 10X, and at a fraction of their power consumption. Now, you have a real argument for them to move to proof-of-stake.

Once you understand that transaction volume is where the action is, then you just have to look at the Internet. How many times do you click to pay versus click to “Play”? That is, how many times do you click to post on Instagram or Twitter or WeChat versus to pay a bill or a vendor? How many times do you click to stream on YouTube or Spotify versus to pay someone with PayPal, Venmo or WeChat? It’s hundreds (if not thousands) to one. All the transaction volume is in click to “Play”.

And wherever you play, there are ads. In fact, online advertising is the largest economy in the world. It’s bigger than oil. So, RChain wants to help people make lots and lots of decentralized clicks to play DApps: social networks, streaming services, logistics services, data services, etc. And it wants to stream sponsored content through those decentralized services, but do so in a way that it eliminates surveillance capitalism. It also wants people to have a say as to whether their data is sold and if it is sold and get a cut of the profits.

Migration From Other Public Chains’ Ecosystems to RChain

RChain’s sharding solution allows other chains to be mounted as shards. This means that smart contracts can be written as if other chains were just RChain resources. In this case, for the RChain side, there is a very easy migration.

The biggest stumbling block to migration is the mismatch in the computational model. RChain operates concurrently while most other blockchains operate sequentially. This means other chains cannot handle RChain’s execution demands. RChain execution requests to other chains will queue up and queue up as they process them one at a time.

Of course, going the other way is simple, but it means that RChain has to slow down to match the sequential semantics of the other chains.

Toward a Leaderless Global Computer

RChain has been in mainnet for just under 2 years. Last year it released a major feature: the last finalized state, which means that new validators can synchronize to the chain without having to go all the way back to the genesis block. This year it is releasing a major performance improvement called block merge, that gives the linear scaling. It’s the culmination of Greg’s research of architecture and mathematics in the last 30 years, some of the work can go back to Microsoft’s BizTalk Process Orchestration that Greg worked on 20 years ago.

As Atticbee explained, there exists the following relationships btw “traditional computer” and the blockchain “global computer”:

  • Traditional Computer : Blockchain computer.
  • Multithreading : concurrency of block merge.
  • Multiprocess : sharding (composability).
  • Firewall : on-chain formal verification (behavior type system).

All these 3 parts are necessary for a truly useful global computer. And the computational layer should be carefully chosen so that all these parts can be supported, it means the chosen computational model should support concurrency, composability and a behavior type system.

RChain and Hoo: The Arrow Has Already Been on the String

Figure: Computational Model Comparisons

Unfortunately that leaves very few choices. From the above table, only Pi or Rho-Calculus can provide all the required features. Rho-Calculus is the upgraded version of Pi-Calculus. With reflection with much more expressive power. It is the first process of calculus suitable as a smart contract language. And Greg Meredith is the founder of Rho-Calculus.

RChain and Hoo: The Arrow Has Already Been on the String

Figure: The Knowledge Graph of RChain

With the coming “block merge” milestone the multi-threading/concurrency capability will be demonstrated. After that RChain will have a “seamless” sharding solution that makes many shards “look and feel” like one. Finally in the Venus milestone, a behavior type system will be implemented to allow thousands of contracts to safely cooperate with each other. Above that it will be possible to add a smart contract orchestration layer like a decentralized Kubernetes. Without a carefully chosen computational model, all these are impossible and the platform will be locked in as a payment solution, rather than a global computer that can handle a global scale, all-in-one computing infrastructure to serve Web 3.0.


This is a sponsored post. Learn how to reach our audience here. Read disclaimer below.

Image Credits: Shutterstock, Pixabay, Wiki Commons

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. It is not a direct offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation or endorsement of any products, services, or companies. Bitcoin.com does not provide investment, tax, legal, or accounting advice. Neither the company nor the author is responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods or services mentioned in this article.

Go to Source

Continue Reading
Home | Latest News | Cryptocurrency | Bit Coin | Price analysis 10/4: BTC, ETH, BNB, ADA, SOL, XRP, DOT, DOGE, LUNA, UNI
a

Market

Trending