Bitcoin (BTC) has made a tentative start to the month of June, suggesting that bears have not gone into hibernation just yet. Although Bitcoin is trading nearly 55% off its all-time high of $69,000, whales and institutions remain cautious and have not jumped into the market with gusto, according to BlockTrends analyst Caue Oliveira.
According to CryptoQuant contributor Venturefounder, if Bitcoin repeats the historical patterns seen after the previous halving cycles, then a bottom may be formed between $14,000 and $21,000 in the next six months. Thereafter, Bitcoin may chop around the $28,000 to $40,000 range for a large part of the next year and be around $40,000 during the halving.
Crypto’s bear market has not stopped Goldman Sachs from exploring the possibility of integrating its derivatives products into FTX.US derivatives offerings. This suggests that the investment bank expects derivatives demand to pick up in the future.
Has Bitcoin started a bottoming formation? Is the short-term downtrend in altcoins over? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.
Bitcoin reached the overhead resistance at $32,659 on May 31 but the bulls could not clear this hurdle. The Doji candlestick pattern on May 31 indicates uncertainty among the buyers and sellers.
This uncertainty resolved in favor of the bears on June 1 and they pulled the price below the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ($30,741). If the price sustains below the 20-day EMA, the next stop could be $28,630. The buyers are expected to defend this level with all their might.
If the price rebounds off $28,600, the BTC/USDT pair could again attempt a rally to $32,659. If that happens, the pair may consolidate between these two levels for a few days.
The next trending move could begin if the price breaks above or below the range. If the price soars above $32,659, the rally could reach the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ($34,629). The downtrend could resume on a break below the $28,630 to $26,700 support zone.
The bears stalled Ether’s (ETH) relief rally at the 20-day EMA ($2,009) on May 31, indicating that they are not allowing the bulls to get a foothold.
The bears will try to pull the price to the vital support at $1,700. This is an important level for the bulls to defend because if it cracks, the ETH/USDT pair could witness panic selling. The pair could then resume its downtrend and plummet to $1,300.
Alternatively, if the price rebounds off $1,700, it will suggest that the bulls are buying proactively at these levels. The bulls will then again try to push the price above the 20-day EMA and challenge the stiff resistance at $2,159.
BNB rose above the immediate resistance of $320 on May 30 but the bulls have not been able to build upon this move. This indicates that bears are posing a strong challenge at $325.
The sellers have pulled the price to the uptrend line. This is an important level to keep an eye on in the near term. If the price rebounds off this level, it will suggest that bulls are accumulating on dips. That could enhance the prospects of a break above $325.
Contrary to this assumption, if bears sink the price below the uptrend line, the BNB/USDT pair could drop to the strong support zone between $286 and $265. A break below $265 could send the pair tumbling to the vital support at $211.
Ripple (XRP) rose above the downtrend line on May 30 but the bulls could not clear the overhead hurdle at the 20-day EMA ($0.43). This suggests that bears are not willing to surrender their advantage.
The bears will try to sink the price below the downtrend line. If that happens, the XRP/USDT pair could decline to $0.38. The buyers are likely to defend this level and a bounce off it will point to a possible consolidation in the near term.
On the contrary, if the price rebounds off the downtrend line, it will suggest that bulls are attempting to flip this level to support. If that happens, the possibility of a break above the 20-day EMA increases. The pair could then rally to the psychological resistance at $0.50.
Cardano (ADA) broke above the 20-day EMA ($0.56) on May 30 and followed it up with another sharp up-move on May 31. This pushed the price to the 50-day SMA ($0.70) but the long wick on the day’s candlestick suggests that bears are selling near this level.
The bears will try to pull the price back below the 20-day EMA and trap the aggressive bulls. If that happens, the ADA/USDT pair could drop to $0.44 where buying may emerge.
That could suggest a consolidation inside the large range between $0.44 and $0.74. The flattening 20-day EMA and the relative strength index (RSI) just below the midpoint also indicate a range-bound action in the near term.
The bulls may gain the upper hand if the price rebounds off the 20-day EMA and breaks above $0.74. Such a move will suggest that the downtrend may be over.
Solana’s (SOL) relief rally is facing stiff resistance from the bears near the psychological level at $50. This suggests that bears have not yet given up and they continue to sell on rallies.
The bears will try to pull the price to the strong support at $40. The bulls are expected to buy the dips to this level. If the price rebounds off this support, the buyers will again try to push the SOL/USDT pair above the 20-day EMA ($51). If they succeed, the pair could rally to $60 and thereafter attempt an up-move to the breakdown level of $75.
On the other hand, if bears sink the price below $40, the pair could drop to the May 12 intraday low of $37. The pair could resume its downtrend if bears pull the price below this crucial support.
Dogecoin’s (DOGE) price has been trading near the 20-day EMA ($0.09) for the past two days but the bulls have failed to achieve a breakout. This suggests that bears are defending the 20-day EMA with vigor.
The bears will try to sink the price to the strong support at $0.07. This level has held on two previous occasions; hence, the bulls will again try to defend it. If the price rebounds off this support, the DOGE/USDT pair may remain stuck inside a range between $0.10 and $0.07 for some time.
If bulls drive the price above $0.10, it will suggest that the downtrend could be weakening. The pair could then rally to $0.12. Conversely, the downtrend could resume on a break below $0.07.
Polkadot (DOT) is facing resistance at the 20-day EMA ($10.55) but the bulls have not allowed the price to sustain below $10. This suggests strong demand at lower levels.
If bulls push and sustain the price above the 20-day EMA, the DOT/USDT pair could rally to $12. This level may act as a minor hurdle but if crossed, the recovery could reach the strong overhead resistance at $14.
Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down and sustains below $10, the decline could extend to the strong support at $8. A strong bounce off this support will suggest that the pair may remain range-bound between $8 and $12 for some time.
Avalanche (AVAX) turned down from the downtrend line on May 31, suggesting that bears continue to defend the level with vigor. The bears will now try to pull the price below the strong support zone of $23.51 to $21.35.
If they succeed, the AVAX/USDT pair will complete a descending triangle pattern, indicating the start of the next leg of the downtrend. The pair could then decline to $20.
Although the downsloping 20-day EMA ($31.33) favors the bears, the positive divergence on the RSI suggests that the bearish momentum may be weakening. If the price turns up from the current level and breaks above the 20-day EMA, buying could resume. The bulls will then try to propel the pair to $38.
Shiba Inu’s (SHIB) recovery is facing stiff resistance at the 20-day EMA ($0.000012), suggesting that the sentiment remains negative and bears are selling on rallies.
The bears will try to pull the price to the strong support at $0.000010. This level is likely to attract aggressive buying by the bulls. If the price rebounds off $0.000010, the SHIB/USDT pair could rally toward the 20-day EMA.
If buyers push the price above the 20-day EMA, the pair could rise to $0.000014 and later to the breakdown level of $0.000017. On the downside, the bears will have to sink the price below $0.000009 to signal the resumption of the downtrend.
The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.
Market data is provided by HitBTC exchange.
Record Investment Outflows of $423 Million Led to Crypto Bloodbath
Last week saw record outflows of $423 million from crypto assets, according to CoinShares.
The report found that the outflows last weekend were likely responsible for bitcoin’s decline to $17,760. Analyst James Butterfill said: “The outflows were solely focussed on bitcoin, which saw net outflows for the week totaling US$453m.”
BTC outflows bring down institutional investments
Therefore, if bitcoin is removed from the calculations, Ethereum contributed an inflow of around $11 million while other alts also added minor positive flows, aggregating inflows to the extent of $70 million.
This was Ethereum’s first inflow after 11 consecutive negative sessions according to CoinShares.
In the past week, the BTC market has slid under the $20,000 level twice. Short-bitcoin saw inflows of $15 million due to the launch of the first U.S.-based short investment product in the week in question, the report noted.
Benefits of a crypto bear market
Similar wide margins were last seen in the previous negative peak, in terms of outflows, in Jan at $198 million.
However, in relative terms, Butterfill remarked that the week did not witness the largest negative flows against total assets under management (AuM).
“This record occurred during the bear market in Feb 2018 where outflows representing 1.6% of AuM were witnessed, while the outflows last week were the third largest on record, representing 1.2% of AuM,” the report noted.
But despite the bearish sentiments, some crypto bosses are optimistic about the results of a market downturn. Charlie Silver, founder of Permission.io told Insider: ” There are hundreds of firms that are built on hype and not substance. It will be good for the industry to have them go away.”
“Bear markets are healthy because it resets valuations to reality and flushes out the bad actors. There are many cryptos that are true Ponzi schemes, that pay investors only with new investor money. When the new money dries up the project falls apart,” Silver added.
All the information contained on our website is published in good faith and for general information purposes only. Any action the reader takes upon the information found on our website is strictly at their own risk.
Uzbekistan warms up to Bitcoin mining, but there’s a catch
The executive order spares all the mined assets from taxation and bans mining anonymous currencies.
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The National Agency of Prospective Projects (NAPP) in Uzbekistan announced its demands toward crypto mining operators. It would only allow the companies that use solar energy to mine Bitcoin (BTC) or other cryptocurrencies.
The normative act on the government page, dated June 24, describes the confirmation of “Guidelines on the registration of the crypto assets mining,” and sets the finalization date on July 9. The second article of the document offers an uncompromising wording:
“Mining is being carried out only by the legal entity with the use of electric energy, provided by a solar photovoltaic power plant.”
As a further complication, the miners should own the solar photovoltaic power plant that they will use for energy.
The executive order also obliges any mining operator to obtain a certificate and register in the national registry of crypto mining companies. This procedure demands a brief list of documents, and should take no more than 20 days from submitting to the final decision to the licensing body. The certificates would be valid for one year after the registration.
All the currency generated from mining activities would be spared taxation, though the mining farms would face the special tariffs on the consumed energy set by the Uzbekistan government. But, the trade operations with mined assets would have to be conducted only on the exchange platforms that are registered in Uzbekistan. The mining of anonymous cryptocurrencies would be prohibited.
In April 2022, the freshly-restructured NAPP became Uzbekistan’s exclusive crypto regulator with the mission to adopt a special crypto regulation regime in the country. This move came in a row of initiatives launched by the Uzbekistan President Shavkat Mirziyoyev to provide the regulatory framework for crypto. In September 2018, Mirziyoyev signed a law prohibiting local firms from launching their crypto exchanges in Uzbekistan. The law only offered legal status to crypto exchanges established by foreign legal entities.
Celsius denies allegations on Alex Mashinsky trying to flee US
Celsius CEO Alex Mashinsky wasn’t trying to leave the U.S. last week but has continued to work on recovering liquidity and operations, the company has claimed.
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Troubled crypto lending firm Celsius is putting their best foot forward to recover operations alongside CEO Alex Mashinsky, who currently stays in the United States, the company has claimed.
A spokesperson for Celsius has denied rumors that the company’s CEO tried to flee the U.S. last week amid the ongoing liquidity crisis of the Celsius Network.
The representative told Cointelegraph on Monday that the firm continues working on restoring liquidity, stating:
“All Celsius employees — including our CEO — are focused and hard at work in an effort to stabilize liquidity and operations. To that end, any reports that the Celsius CEO has attempted to leave the U.S. are false.”
Celsius’ statement came shortly after Mike Alfred, co-founder of the crypto analytics firm Digital Assets Data, took to Twitter on Sunday to claim that Mashinsky attempted to leave the country last week via Morristown Airport in New Jersey.
Citing an anonymous source, Alfred alleged that Celsius’s CEO was trying to go to Israel. “Unclear at this moment whether he was arrested or simply barred from leaving,” he added.
Alfred’s claims followed a massive GameStop-like “short squeeze” of Celsius, with Celsius’ native token Celsius (CEL) jumping 300% in one week by June 21. CEL price also abruptly rallied more than 600% on June 14, with analysts attributing the event to an exchange glitch or liquidation of short traders.
At the time of writing, CEL is trading at $0.741, down around 5% over the past 24 hours, according to CoinGecko. Celsius’ native token is still up more than 160% over the past 14 days.
Some industry observers in the crypto community have expressed skepticism about Alfred’s tweets about Mashinsky, with many considering his allegations as FUD.
If @Mashinsky attempted to leave the country this week, why are you reporting it now exactly when the CEL price is going down? Seems very coincidental Mike Alfud. And why no mainstream media or crypto media is reporting this? #CelShortSqueeze https://t.co/ynJbzWib9o
— Otis — #CelShortSqueeze ©️ ⚡️ (@otisa502) June 27, 2022
As previously reported by Cointelegraph, Celsius officially announced that it would be “pausing all withdrawals, swaps and transfers between accounts” on June 13. United States regulators subsequently started an investigation into Celsius as multiple accounts on the network were frozen.
According to some analysts, Celsius’ liquidity issues should be attributed to shortcomings of the existing crypto lending model in general, as other lenders in the market have faced similar problems recently.
Celsius has been working hard to fix the consequences of the platform’s liquidity crisis, reportedly onboarding advisers and restructuring consultants to help the platform handle potential filing for bankruptcy. On June 18, Celsius’ lead investor BnkToTheFuture and its co-founder Simon Dixon offered to assist the network by deploying a recovery plan.
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