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‘Something sure feels like it’s about to break’ — 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week

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‘Something sure feels like it’s about to break’ — 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week

Bitcoin (BTC) starts a new week in an uncertain place facing uncertain times — is $40,000 now resistance?

The largest cryptocurrency has just closed a fourth red weekly candle in a row, something that has not happened since June 2020.

As cold feet over the macro market outlook continues to be the norm, there seems little to comfort bulls as the week gets underway — and Bitcoin is not done selling off yet.

On the back of $4,000 in losses over the past four days alone, price targets now focus on retests of liquidity levels further toward $30,000.

It is not all doom and gloom — long-term hodlers and key participants such as miners are showing a more positive stance when it comes to Bitcoin as an investment.

With that in mind, Cointelegraph takes a look at the forces at work when it comes to shaping BTC price action in the coming days.

Asia woes overtake French election relief 

The key external event for risk assets at the start of the week is the French election, this was won by incumbent Emmanuel Macron.

A sigh of relief for market players concerned about a surprise victory from far-right rival Marine Le Pen, Macron’s second term is expected to lift French stocks in particular on April 25’s open and the embattled euro along with them.

The European Union, much like the United States, faces a potent cocktail of inflation and plummeting bond markets, with the European Central Bank (ECB) nonetheless not yet taking decisive steps to raise interest rates or reduce its near $10 trillion balance sheet.

Bitcoin was unmoved at the Macron victory, and risk assets are already contending with an Asia downturn on April 25 as COVID-19 in China rattles sentiment.

The Hang Seng index in Hong Kong is down 3.5% on the day so far, while the Shanghai Composite has shed 4.2%.

With crypto en masse heavily correlated to stock market movements currently, a repeat performance by Europe and the United States would produce clear directional cues.

“The worry is the current policy support that the government has already put in place may not be effective because of the Covid policies as activities are subdued,” Jenny Zeng, co-head of Asia Pacific fixed income at global asset management firm AllianceBernstein, told Bloomberg.

Even before April 25’s losses, the past week was already painful for equities, as noted by markets commentator Holger Zschaepitz.

“Global stocks lost $3.3tn in mkt cap this wk as US equities — after peaking Thur morning — experienced steady fall lower as investors seem to reconsider why they have been buying risk assets in world filled w/so much uncertainty,” he told Twitter users on April 24:

“Global stocks worth $107.6tn, equal to 127% of GDP.”

Bloomberg global stock market cap chart. Source: Holger Zschaepitz/ Twitter

A further post flagged the so-called Buffett Indicator — the ratio of total U.S. stock market valuation to GDP — still being in what he called “problematic” territory at over 100%.

Dollar strength is back with a vengeance

One component of the macro landscape firmly in bullish mode — to the chagrin of crypto traders — is the U.S. dollar.

The U.S. dollar currency index (DXY), after wobbling at two-year highs last week, now looks to be continuing its uptrend.

At 101.61 at the time of writing, DXY is challenging its performance from March 2020, when the Coronavirus crash sent assets worldwide tumbling.

Dollar strength has rarely been a boon for Bitcoin, and the inverse correlation, while criticized by some, appears to be firmly in control this month.

BTC/USD 1-week candle chart vs. U.S. dollar currency index (DXY). Source: TradingView

“Looks like the DXY dev announced a token burn or something,” popular trader Crypto Ed joked in response to the latest move.

For Preston Pysh, host of the Investor’s Podcast Network, something does not seem right.

“We got the BoJ implementing Yield Curve Control while the Yen is collapsing and we have the FED about to hike 50bps while the dollar is making new highs,” he warned on April 25″

“Something sure feels like it’s about to break…

Weekly chart prints fourth straight red candle

Bitcoin is looking anything but rosy on April 25. While the weekend managed to avoid significant volatility, the weekly close still disappointed, coming in at just under last week’s level.

This, nevertheless, means that there are now four red candles in a row on the weekly chart, something that Bitcoin has not seen since June 2020, data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows.

The downtrend then continued overnight to see BTC/USD fall below $39,000, a position it maintains at the time of writing.

BTC/USD 1-week candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

Traders are eyeing various chart features for clues as to where the pair is headed next, but bullish inklings are decidedly few and far between.

For popular trader and analyst Rekt Capital, it is the Ichimoku cloud looming overhead that would cause further losses for Bitcoin.

— Rekt Capital (@rektcapital) April 24, 2022

Popular analyst Cheds, author of Trading Wisdom, meanwhile, eyed a potential crossing under the 200-period moving average on the three-day chart.

This would be significant, he argued over the weekend, as the last time that this happened after a bull run was the bear market bottom of 2018.

“Not a prediction just an observation,” he cautioned.

On the topic of December 2018 and its $3,100 floor, Matthew Hyland, known as Parabolic Matt on Twitter, produced further comparisons between that period and the current BTC price action.

On longer timeframes, he said, holding $37,600 is now “crucial.”

#Bitcoin comparison of the 2018/2019 Bear Market Bottom compared to the current structure BTC has been in since January of this year

✅Similar Time Frame
✅Series of Lower Highs and Higher Lows
✅Creation of a higher high
✅Pullback after first higher high

Crucial $37.6k Holds pic.twitter.com/kzQhvZUTMr

— Matthew Hyland (@MatthewHyland_) April 23, 2022

“Looking for that sweep down, at which point i will then be looking for signs of a relief rally to play off from,” fellow Twitter pundit Crypto Tony added on April 25 as part of his own analysis.

Hodlers put in a new record

The “choppy” nature of lower timeframe price action on Bitcoin makes it an uninspiring trade for anyone but the most experienced players.

As such, it is perhaps little surprise that the majority of hodlers are choosing to stay hands-off and do what they do best.

That is now reflected in on-chain data, which shows that the proportion of the Bitcoin supply that has stayed dormant for at least a year is now at all-time highs.

Citing figures from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode, economist Jan Wuestenfeld noted that this translates to the supply more broadly becoming “older.” Proportionally, more coins are being hodled for longer rather than spent.

According to Glassnode, the supply now dormant for a year or more has broken 64% for the first time on record.

The percentage of the #Bitcoin supply last active 1+ years ago just crossed 64% for the first time ever! The percentage of old coins continues to trend up. ↗️ pic.twitter.com/Zyj0hyqFti

— Jan Wüstenfeld (@JanWues) April 24, 2022

HODL Waves, a Glassnode indicator showing hodled coins of all ages confirms the trend. Since December 2021, the 1-2 year supply slice has increased more than any other — from under 10% then to nearly 15% as of this week.

The 3-5 year band of hodled coins also increased its presence in Q1.

Bitcoin HODL Waves chart. Source: Unchained Capital

Fundamentals still point to the moon

It is not just casual steadfast hodlers who are stubbornly refusing to reduce their BTC exposure despite the grim outlook.

Related: Top 5 cryptocurrencies to watch this week: BTC, DOT, XMR, APE, CAKE

A look at Bitcoin’s network fundamentals shows that miners are also anything but bearish when it comes to investing.

A frequent story this year, but nonetheless an impressive one, given that price is moving in the opposite direction, Bitcoin’s network hash rate and difficulty are both due to make new all-time highs this week.

Depending on price performance, difficulty should adjust up by around 2.9% in two days’ time, setting a new record of 29.32 trillion in the process.

Underscoring the competition to participate in mining, difficulty joins hash rate — an estimate of the processing power dedicated to the blockchain — which is already at its highest ever.

Estimates vary by source, but raw data from MiningPoolStats underscores the “up only” trend when it comes to hash rate — a key trigger, some argue, for subsequent bullish price performance.

Bitcoin hash rate chart (screenshot). Source: MiningPoolStats

The trend of increasing hash rate is nothing new, having been long forecasted as investment continues to grow.

As Cointelegraph previously reported, as of early April, 20% of Bitcoin mining was being undertaken by publicly-listed companies.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Korean Police Ask Crypto Exchanges to Freeze Luna Foundation Guard’s Assets

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Korean Police Ask Crypto Exchanges to Freeze Luna Foundation Guard’s Assets

Korean Police Ask Crypto Exchanges to Freeze Luna Foundation Guard's Assets

The South Korean police have reportedly launched an investigation into possible embezzlement involving an employee of Terraform Labs. To prevent fund transfers, the police have requested crypto exchanges to freeze the Luna Foundation Guard’s accounts.

Embezzlement Investigation and Asset Freeze

The Seoul Metropolitan Police Agency’s Cybercrime ​​Investigation Unit announced Monday that it has launched an investigation into possible embezzlement by an employee of Terraform Labs, local media reported.

An official from the Seoul Metropolitan Police Agency was quoted by Chosun as saying:

We have received information that there is a person suspected of embezzling corporate funds who is believed to be an employee of Terraform Labs.

The police received reports of the alleged embezzlement in the middle of this month and have been looking into the case. As part of the investigation, the police plan to check the details of cash and crypto transactions of Terraform Labs and the Luna Foundation Guard (LFG).

The police explained that there is evidence that embezzled funds had flowed into the Luna Foundation Guard’s accounts. The cybercrime unit has therefore requested major domestic cryptocurrency exchanges, such as Upbit and Bithumb, to “urgently” freeze the accounts belonging to the Luna Foundation Guard to prevent withdrawals of funds held at crypto exchanges.

However, the police’s freeze request is not a compulsory matter according to Korean laws and regulations but a matter that needs to be arbitrarily performed by each crypto exchange. Therefore, it has not been confirmed whether the freeze requests have been carried out, the publication conveyed.

Cryptocurrency terra (LUNA) and stablecoin terrausd (UST) collapsed earlier this month after UST lost its peg to the U.S. dollar.

Following the collapse, the Korean government launched an emergency investigation into the two coins and met with representatives of the country’s top crypto exchanges to discuss measures to prevent similar incidents from happening.

Last week, a number of victims filed a lawsuit against Terraform Labs CEO Kwon Do-hyung (aka Do Kwon) with the Seoul Southern District Prosecutors Office on charges of violating the Act on the Aggravated Punishment of Specific Economic Crimes (fraud) and the Act on the Regulation of Similar Receipts.

In addition, Do Kwon dissolved Terraform Labs Korea days before the collapse of LUNA and UST. While many suspected foul play, Kwon claimed that the timing was just “coincidental.” He also claims that his company does not owe the Korean government any taxes.

What do you think about this case? Let us know in the comments section below.

Kevin Helms

A student of Austrian Economics, Kevin found Bitcoin in 2011 and has been an evangelist ever since. His interests lie in Bitcoin security, open-source systems, network effects and the intersection between economics and cryptography.

Image Credits: Shutterstock, Pixabay, Wiki Commons

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. It is not a direct offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation or endorsement of any products, services, or companies. Bitcoin.com does not provide investment, tax, legal, or accounting advice. Neither the company nor the author is responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods or services mentioned in this article.

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Registration For The Upcoming VERSE Token By Bitcoin․com Is Now Open

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Registration For The Upcoming VERSE Token By Bitcoin․com Is Now Open

press release

Registrations are now open for the VERSE token sale, which will begin in the later part of June 2022. Interested parties who register can participate in the token sale immediately upon launch.

Miami, Florida – May 23rd, 2022 – VERSE is the rewards and utility token distributed to holders who participate in the Bitcoin.com ecosystem. Bitcoin.com is a global leader in introducing newcomers to cryptocurrency and is the go-to platform for educational resources, news, and more. Bitcoin.com’s ecosystem includes 30 million wallets and more than five million monthly active users across various products and services.

The VERSE token will reward users who engage in buying, selling, spending, swapping, and staying informed about cryptocurrency. Rewards will be allocated by interacting with the Verse DEX, staking VERSE, cashback paid in VERSE, and using VERSE as collateral in various lending pools. Additionally, token holders will receive access to exclusive products and services.

VERSE is a cross-chain token using the ERC-20 token standard on the Ethereum blockchain. The Verse team will actively explore opportunities to expand the token into low-fee Ethereum Virtual Machine-compatible networks to provide an optimal user experience.

The VERSE supply is fixed at 210 billion tokens, distributed over seven years through a block-to-block approach. A further breakdown looks as follows:

  • 10% sold during Sale A (completed in May 2022)
  • 6% being sold during Sale B (coming in June 2022)
  • 15% allocated to the team
  • 35% set aside for ecosystem incentives
  • 34% will be used for funding future development of Verse and its ecosystem

The first token sale raised $33.6 million last month from notable market participants such as Blockchain.com, KuCoin, and Digital Strategies along with thought leaders like Roger Ver, Jihan Wu, and David Wachsman.

“We were honored to see such outspoken support during our first token sale round. Furthermore, we could not be more excited about bringing our second token sale to the public and providing more people with access to VERSE. This new utility token marks a crucial milestone for the Bitcoin.com ecosystem. It will enable us to enhance the mainstream appeal of cryptocurrency and blockchain through our buy/sell services, news coverage, and educational tools” said Dennis Jarvis, CEO Bitcoin.com.

To participate in the upcoming VERSE token sale, interested parties need to register on the Verse website. They will be the first to know when the VERSE token sale is live.

Registrants need an Ethereum wallet – such as the Bitcoin.com Wallet – to receive the VERSE tokens. Payment for the token sale is possible with Bitcoin, Bitcoin Cash, Ethereum, USDT, and USDC.

The Verse community already counts over twenty-five thousand participants combined across Telegram and Discord. VERSE tokens will be minted following the conclusion of the Verse public sale in July.

The VERSE token sale is not available to U.S. purchasers.

Bitcoin.com

Bitcoin.com is your premier source for everything Bitcoin-related. We can help you buy bitcoins and choose a bitcoin wallet. You can also read the latest news, or engage with the community on our Bitcoin Forum. Please keep in mind that this is a commercial website that lists wallets, exchanges and other Bitcoin-related companies.

Image Credits: Shutterstock, Pixabay, Wiki Commons

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. It is not a direct offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation or endorsement of any products, services, or companies. Bitcoin.com does not provide investment, tax, legal, or accounting advice. Neither the company nor the author is responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods or services mentioned in this article.

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Popular Radio Presenter Suspended for Alleged Ties to Bitcoin Scam

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Popular Radio Presenter Suspended for Alleged Ties to Bitcoin Scam

South Africa’s national broadcaster has suspended one of its employees that is accused of convincing unsuspecting people, including pensioners, to invest in a cryptocurrency scam. More than 100 people are believed to have fallen victim to promises of very high returns to investors in the bitcoin investment scheme.

300% Return on Investment

The South African state broadcaster recently suspended one of its radio presenters, Sebasa Mogale, after a media exposé suggested he may have been part of a cryptocurrency scam outfit that reportedly promised a 300% return on investment.

The decision to suspend the popular broadcaster, who also plays a role in South Africa’s popular television series Skeem Saam, was made after an investigative report by the media outlet Carte Blanche identified him as one of the masterminds behind the scam that allegedly fleeced more than 100 people.

Reports of Mogale’s suspension were confirmed by Gugu Ntuli, the South African Broadcasting Corporation (SABC) group executive responsible for corporate affairs and marketing. In a statement, the executive said:

Thobela FM has taken a decision to unschedule Sebasa Mogale, (Ntshirogele) Afternoon Drive presenter, following the Carte Blanche exposé. Mr Mogale is being afforded an opportunity to resolve the issues raised in the recent broadcast which pertain to his personal business dealings involving cryptocurrency.

Ntuli added that the SABC will “leave no stone unturned” in its own probe into Mogale’s role in the scam.

A Confidence Trickster

According to an exposé by Carte Blanche, Mogale had used his celebrity status to lure some listeners of his radio show to invest. The media outlet’s report said investors with no training in personal finance management had “cashed in their pensions and savings policies.” However, in the end, Mogale’s promises turned out to be empty.

“But for at least 140 people the man they trusted to guide them through the crypto maze appears to have been little more than a confidence trickster,” reads part of Carte Blanche’s summary of the exposé.

Following news of Mogale’s suspension, some of the victims of the scam have come forward to reveal their losses. Sello Bonoko is quoted in another report explaining he became a victim after he listened to Mogale’s bitcoin investment pitch that “sounded convincing.” He also said he trusted Mogale’s promises primarily because these were made on national radio. Bonoko said he lost more than $14,500 (R230,000).

Meanwhile, a spokesman for the South African police is quoted in the report telling Mogale’s victims to file reports with law enforcement. He said the police can only act after formally receiving the complaints.

What are your thoughts on this story? Tell us what you think in the comments section below.

Terence Zimwara

Terence Zimwara is a Zimbabwe award-winning journalist, author and writer. He has written extensively about the economic troubles of some African countries as well as how digital currencies can provide Africans with an escape route.

Image Credits: Shutterstock, Pixabay, Wiki Commons

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. It is not a direct offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation or endorsement of any products, services, or companies. Bitcoin.com does not provide investment, tax, legal, or accounting advice. Neither the company nor the author is responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods or services mentioned in this article.

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