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The crypto industry needs a crypto capital market structure



The crypto industry needs a crypto capital market structure

The past few weeks have been interesting and have surfaced what we in the financial services industry call matters requiring attention, or MRAs. An MRA describes a practice that deviates from sound governance, internal controls and risk management principles. These matters that require attention have the potential to adversely affect the industry and increase the risk profile. 

I have always focused on technology and innovation-led business models — systems and interconnected elements of blockchain-powered business networks — redefining the transaction systems that power many industries, including financial services. A growing number of naysayers have become vocal about recent events, which have revealed extensive mismanagement, ill-defined and misgoverned systems, and general misrepresentation of the industry. As a result, I want to take a systemic view of the industry to understand what led to this point, dissect the failings, and be prescriptive on how we can learn from failures and build upon successes.

Let’s first understand the market structure and what it means. That will help shed light on inefficiency in the current crypto market structure and allow me to make the case for a better-defined structure aimed at systemic fairness, robust information flow for risk profiles, and a convincing innovation narrative to revive the industry and instill confidence.

Understanding the current financial market structure

The modern financial market structure is essentially a chain of interconnected market participants that aid in accumulating capital and forming investment resources. These market participants have specific functions, such as asset custody, central bookkeeping, liquidity provisioning, clearing and settlement. Because of function, capital constraints or regulation, many of these entities are not vertically integrated, which prevents collusion or unilateral investment decisions. So, various products may be governed by different markets, but the fundamental financial primitives remain universal. For example, products such as stocks, bonds, futures, options and currencies all need to be traded, cleared and settled, and other functions such as collateralization, lending and borrowing ensue.

Financial markets work only where there is a supply of and demand for capital, and this is important. Today, the information between these interconnected participants is a function of sequential batched relay systems, and this asymmetric dissemination of information not only creates opacity but also inefficiency in terms of liquidity requirements, system trust costs in the form of fees and opportunity costs.

Blockchain and distributed ledger technology systems aim to solve these issues of time and trust with the characteristics of immutability and asymmetric dissemination of consistent information, which lends itself to trust and instant transaction processing. So, where did this go wrong? And why is the problem we were trying to solve becoming exponentially more complex and prevalent in crypto capital markets?

Related: Understanding the systemic shift from digitization to tokenization of financial services

The current state of market (un)structure — The history of the promise of crypto

The Bitcoin (BTC) system was proposed as an experiment born out of the global financial crisis as a prescriptive approach to rethinking our financial system, a reimagined order to organize the world community and reduce dependence on a few large hegemonic economies.

This system was proposed with tenets of decentralization to distribute power and trustless protocols to ensure that no single entity had absolute control of a monetary system. It relied on participation in the global creation, acceptance and recognition of a currency, where the rules of demand and supply applied to egalitarian principles.

Related: A new intro to Bitcoin: The 9-minute read that could change your life

Bitcoin helped envision a few financial systems to address the inefficiencies of the current system discussed previously. Ethereum introduced programmability to a simple asset transfer that Bitcoin introduced, adding business rules and other complex financial primitives for application to otherwise simple rules for moving value.

This began a reinvention of the internet, which was never designed to move value but only information. Subsequently, evolved layers of innovation, such as provisioning scalability and privacy (layer 2), were added, and the industry was humming along with the promise of a bright future. While we had naysayers, the crypto industry brought innovation with no apologies and began to shape a new wave of technological development to empower an ownership economy — very much in line with the participative and global egalitarian economic system promised by Bitcoin.

Many interesting projects evolved to solve problems as they popped up, and we could see a lot of innovative energy spread through the ecosystem with new use cases, applications and solutions for many problems resulting from lack of trust, costs and the exploitive opacity of data and information only monetizable by a few.

Related: Bitcoin’s Velvet Revolution: The overthrow of crony capitalism

This revolution also began to attract new talent from many industries, and many projects began to be socialized, which neither adhered to original envisioned principles nor added to technological innovation. They used the vernacular and the enthusiasm of the community, but in their structure was a centralized layer with challenges having the pitfalls of the current system but with the utility of a distributed ledger techonology-based transaction system. Some of these projects did offer financial product innovation by utilizing the same financial primitives, solving the issues of opacity, time, trust, liquidity, capital efficiency and risk, and promising egalitarian access, but they lacked the market structure and guardrails the current system provides.

Devising a new crypto capital market structure and convincing innovation narrative

Historically, crypto industry market changes have been grassroots, and then the changes are driven by entrepreneurs and the community. The industry will once again pivot and shift through these forces and emerge with a stronger foundation. For this to occur, however, the industry needs a sound market structure and systemic independence from current transactional systems. One industry imperative is not only to coexist with current market structures but also to provide a bridging vehicle to current asset classes. The following are a few imperatives I consider essential MRAs for stronger and more resilient markets.

Rethinking stablecoins

“Stablecoin” has many definitions and many types, so the industry should devote significant energy to rethinking stablecoins, or a truly fungible asset as a medium of exchange. Stablecoins have facilitated a large volume of digital asset trading and allowed for traditional fiat, or fungible sovereign, currency to be converted into digital assets, including crypto assets, and brought much-needed liquidity into the market. However, they also have inherited the challenges of fiat (as a reserve) and begun to provide linkages to and inherit the challenges (and opportunities) of traditional financial markets.

Besides the regulatory and compliance burden of fiat in a largely unregulated crypto financial system, the complexity of value systems can often cause issues in asset valuation and the risk matrix, making it hard for an emerging asset class to flourish and reach its full potential. I think the industry needs to view native crypto assets, such as BTC, Ether (ETH) and other ubiquitous crypto assets or a currency basket as fungible assets as a store of value, unit of account and medium of exchange — the three basic characteristics of a currency.

Provisioning robust crypto market data

Market data is a broad term that describes the financial information necessary for carrying out research, analyzing, trading and accounting for financial instruments of all asset classes on world markets. Crypto adds a new vector of challenge as a 24/7, 365-day operation with a velocity and veracity of data never seen before. This velocity and data capacity have led to analytic challenges in data collection, aggregation, modeling and insights. So, data is information that goes into the price/value/risk calculus and consideration of other macro factors such as inflation, money supply and global events that impact commodities, and essentially makes a market efficient or aims to.

Regulatory moats exist to prevent some participants from taking advantage of information asymmetry, such as insider trading. Crypto market data will bridge the gap between price (what you pay) and value (what you get). This should not only be an imperative for all new layer-1 projects but also for all projects providing financialization of token as a service.

Related: The meaningful shift from Bitcoin maximalism to Bitcoin realism

Creation of a crypto self-regulatory organization

It is important to create a self-regulatory organization (SRO) involving dominant industry players and major layer-1 protocols, which has the power to create industry standards, professional conduct guidelines and regulations to steer the industry in the right direction.

SROs are generally effective due to domain expertise and preserving the interest and reputation of the industry by providing guidelines and guardrails for new entrants and existing participants alike. Enforcement and violation can come through broader education and appeals to the community that supports a project, and this can be especially effective around robust crypto market data that provides insights into transparent data and the correlation of activities across the industry on related projects and related markets. This will also help the industry (by segments) to educate itself, work with regulators and policymakers, and forge partnerships.

Decoupling crypto

Decoupling is essential for the crypto industry to provide both diversity in the investment landscape and a model for efficient and resilient asset classes, transaction systems and an effective market structure. As we have seen with stablecoins, which inherit elements of global macro strategy and increased correlation, rethinking the industry’s ability to create value on its own merits and a new fundamental model that will not only create a convincing innovation narrative but also provide the markets a new independent asset class with sound fundamentals. This also is aligned with the fundamental principle that led to the genesis of Bitcoin-led crypto innovations. Decoupling in scientific terms also refers to reducing the number of resources used to generate economic growth while decreasing environmental deterioration and ecological scarcity.

Related: The decoupling manifesto: Mapping the next phase of the crypto journey

Looking forward

A modern financial market structure is essentially a chain of interconnected market participants that aid in accumulating capital and forming investment resources. The industry needs a sound market structure and systemic independence from current transactional systems. One of the industry imperatives is not only to coexist with current market structures but also to provide a bridging vehicle to current asset classes.

Earlier, I discussed several MRAs that are essential for stronger and more resilient markets. The changes proposed to fix the volatile and runaway nature of the industry include (but are not limited to): a) rethinking stablecoins and liquidity, b) robust crypto market data for efficient market functioning, c) creation of a crypto self-regulated organization and enforcement via community actions, and d) decoupling crypto — essentially rethinking the industry’s ability to create value on its own merits and a new fundamental model that will not only create a convincing innovation narrative but also provide the markets a new independent asset class with sound fundamentals.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

Nitin Gaur has recently joined State Street Digital as its managing director, where he leads digital asset and technology design, with aspirations to transition part of the company’s financial market infrastructure and its clients to the new digital economy. In a previous role, Nitin, served as the founder and director of IBM Digital Asset Labs — committed to devising industry standards, use cases and working toward making blockchain for enterprise a reality. In parallel, Nitin also served as chief technology officer of IBM World Wire — a cross-border payment solution utilizing digital assets. Nitin also founded IBM Blockchain Labs and led the effort in establishing blockchain practice for the enterprise.

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Altcoin Season 2022: Is This the Beginning of Big Gains for Alts?



Altcoin Season 2022: Is This the Beginning of Big Gains for Alts?

Altcoin enthusiasts have experienced a lot of suffering in 2022. Not only has the BTC price fallen drastically over the past 10 months, but the valuation of most altcoins against Bitcoin has also collapsed sharply.

Everyone is asking the question: When is the altcoin season 2022? In today’s analysis, BeInCrypto addresses this issue by looking at the chart of altcoin market capitalization, altcoin season indicators, and the valuation of ETH against BTC. As a result, it appears that perhaps the worst period for altcoins is over, and the market stands on the verge of a massive altcoin season in 2022.

TOTAL2 begins upward impulse

If we look at the chart of the altcoin market capitalization (TOTAL2), we see that it has been generating only green candles for the past 6 weeks. This probably means that we are currently in the first wave of an upward impulse, which began with a bottom at $427.5 billion on June 18, 2022. So far, altcoin market capitalization has increased by almost 60%, reaching a peak of $693 billion.

However, prior to that, altcoins, like the BTC market, experienced a sharp decline from the all-time high (ATH) of $1.7 trillion on November 10, 2021. Since then, the altcoin index has fallen along a descending resistance line (blue) and has been repeatedly rejected by it (red circles).

Then, in March, TOTAL2 broke out of this line (green arrow), suggesting that the altcoin season 2022 had begun. The rise did not last long, however, as just three weeks later the index reached a local peak at $1.27 trillion and began an accelerated decline.

It led to reaching the aforementioned June low. This time the blue resistance line turned into support (R/S flip) and had already been validated twice. However, before that, there was a significant breakdown from the long-term support line, which had been in place since February 2021 (orange line and arrow).

Currently, the line is expected to act as resistance and is currently located at around $1.05 trillion. In addition, it is near the 0.5 Fib retracement level, measured for the entire drop from the ATH.

TOTAL2 chart by Tradingview

Cryptocurrency market analyst @StockmoneyL tweeted a 5-day chart of TOTAL2. He compares the fractals of the current altcoin market and the 2018-2021 period with each other. The analyst points out the analogous structure, which in the coming weeks could lead to large increases and a booming altcoin season in 2022. Interestingly, if the fractal were to repeat again, the nearest resistance would be around $1 trillion.

Source: Twitter

Altcoin season 2022 is already on!

The analysis of the altcoin market capitalization chart and the similarities with the previous cycle are not the only reasons behind the continuation of altcoin price increases. According to data from BlockchainCenter, the altcoin season 2022 has just begun.

Their daily updated altcoin season chart indicates that the index entered altcoin dominance territory in early August. As we read on their website:

“If 75% of the Top 50 coins performed better than Bitcoin over the last season (90 days) it is Altcoin Season.”

On August 10, the altcoin season index they created recorded a near-maximum value of 98. These levels have not been seen since the April-June 2021 period. Thus, if the index remains above the value of 75 for the next few weeks, we may experience a strong altcoin season 2022 in the near future.

Source: www.blockchaincenter.net

In addition, the site posts an overview of the TOP 50 cryptocurrencies for the last 90 days and compares them with the change in Bitcoin’s price. It turns out that BTC lost -20.2% in the ongoing season, while most altcoins recorded increases or lost less.

Among the leaders are CEL (342%), ETC (109%), UNI (71%) and LINK (20%). Also, some of the largest projects were ahead of Bitcoin, even though they experienced declines, such as ADA (-3.1%), ETH (-5.5%) and XRP (-12.6%).

Source: www.blockchaincenter.net

Ethereum leaves Bitcoin behind

Another indicator of a potential altcoin season in 2022 is the performance of Ethereum (ETH), which is the largest altcoin, against BTC. The technical analysis of Ethereum against the USD indicates that there has been a dynamic rise in the ETH price in recent weeks. In addition, it is possible that the RSI has made a breakout from the long-term resistance line and may continue to rise all the way to the $2100 level.

If we now look at the relation to BTC, the weekly chart provides an even more bullish perspective. ETH/BTC has been rising since the bottom at 0.05 BTC, which previously served as resistance. Validation of this area was a bullish signal that initiated the ongoing rise.

Currently, ETH is at 0.081 BTC, rising 66% from the aforementioned low. Moreover, this week’s large green candle led to a breakout above the resistance area at 0.075 BTC (red line), which had previously repeatedly rejected the price (blue arrows).

Technical indicators confirm the initiation of a bullish trend. The RSI has broken out both above the falling resistance line (blue) and the 50 level. Meanwhile, the MACD has recently made a bullish cross and is generating increasingly higher bars of upward momentum. All these developments are strong signals for continued upward momentum.

ETH/BTC chart by Tradingview

Cryptocurrency analyst @el_crypto_prof has drawn a monthly chart of ETH/BTC, in which he suggests that we are on the verge of a huge increase in Ethereum’s valuation against Bitcoin. He pointed out parallels in the fractals of historical upward waves, stating that today’s price action corresponds to the period of early 2017 (orange ellipses).

According to his prediction, ETH could see a 379% rise from the bottom in the coming months and reach 0.25 BTC. If this is indeed to be the case, Ethereum’s rise would be a powerful catalyst for altcoin season 2022.

Source: Twitter

For Be[In]Crypto’s latest Bitcoin (BTC) analysis, click here.


All the information contained on our website is published in good faith and for general information purposes only. Any action the reader takes upon the information found on our website is strictly at their own risk.

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BTC On-Chain Analysis: Puell Multiple Confirms Bitcoin Has Reached Macro Bottom



BTC On-Chain Analysis: Puell Multiple Confirms Bitcoin Has Reached Macro Bottom

Today’s on-chain analysis highlights the famous Puell Multiple indicator, which has broken out of the oversold area in recent days. Historically, the move was a signal confirming that Bitcoin’s macro bottom had been reached.

Reaching a bottom by Bitcoin’s price does not necessarily mean the immediate start of an uptrend. Looking at the behavior of the Puell Multiple after leaving the oversold area, we see that each time the indicator had to test and validate the area of its breakout. For the BTC price, this meant about a 3-month accumulation.

What is Puell Multiple?

Puell Multiple was created by analyst David Puell. It is one of the indicators of the health of Bitcoin miners. It expresses the ratio between the daily value of Bitcoin issuance (in USD) and the 365-day moving average of the daily value of issuance. This simple relationship provides an elegant tool for assessing market cycles from the perspective of miners’ profitability.

In an on-chain analysis last month, BeInCrypto noted that Puell Multiple has reached an oversold level that has historically corresponded to the macro lows of bear markets (green circles). This area is within the green range of 0.3-0.5.

In contrast, the upper red range of 4-10 was reached during the historical peaks of bull markets (red circles). In the chart below, we use the 14-day Puell Multiple average to reduce the noise and look at the long-term trend.

Chart by Glassnode

Current readings and comparison with the COVID-19 crash

Looking at the current readings, we see that Puell Multiple has just broken out of the green oversold area (blue arrow). Of course, the breakout from the oversold area was made possible by the rise in the BTC price, which is today about 36% above its June 18 bottom at $17,622.

It is interesting to compare the current movement of the Puell Multiple with the previous situation when the indicator left the green area. This occurred during the COVID-19 crash in March-June 2020, when Bitcoin reached a macro bottom at $3782 (red circle).

However, the Puell Multiple did not fall into oversold territory until a few weeks later (green circle). By then, Bitcoin was already in the middle of a V-shaped recovery, rising by about 150% and leading the indicator to break out of the green oversold area. We are seeing a similar pattern today.

Chart by Glassnode

Waiting for a retest

Looking once again at the long-term chart of the Puell Multiple, we see a certain correlation between a breakout from the green area and the price of BTC. First of all, every time after a breakout, the indicator seems to return to confirm the oversold area (blue rectangle). It doesn’t always do it exactly and touch the green area, but the corrective movement after the first upward phase is clear.

Then, after confirming the oversold area as support, the Puell Multiple continues its upward movement. Interestingly, the rise of the indicator in the first weeks is not correlated with the rise of the BTC price. During this period, Bitcoin always undergoes a roughly 3-month accumulation phase, which begins a few weeks after the macro bottom is generated (yellow rectangle).

If a similar situation were to repeat now, the start of an uptrend for BTC could be initiated around October-November 2022. In addition, it would be worth waiting for the aforementioned retest of the Puell Multiple indicator, which would have to hold above the green oversold area. A clear consolidation of the indicator and the BTC price would be strong indications for the thesis that BTC reached a macro bottom in June.

Chart by Glassnode

For Be[in]Crypto’s latest Bitcoin (BTC) analysis, click here.


All the information contained on our website is published in good faith and for general information purposes only. Any action the reader takes upon the information found on our website is strictly at their own risk.

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Coinbase posts $1.1B loss, Polygon DApps rocket 400% in 2022 and Elon Musk says inflation is on the decline: Hodler’s Digest, Aug 7-13



Coinbase posts $1.1B loss, Polygon DApps rocket 400% in 2022 and Elon Musk says inflation is on the decline: Hodler’s Digest, Aug 7-13

Coming every Saturday, Hodler’s Digest will help you track every single important news story that happened this week. The best (and worst) quotes, adoption and regulation highlights, leading coins, predictions and much more — a week on Cointelegraph in one link.

Top Stories This Week

Elon Musk: US ’past peak inflation’ after Tesla sells 90% of Bitcoin

With Tesla now having sold 90% of its Bitcoin holdings during the bear market, Elon Musk says the U.S. economy is “past peak inflation” and predicts that only a “mild to moderate” recession could be incoming. “We sort of have some insight into where prices are headed over time, and the interesting thing that we’re seeing now is that most of our commodities, most of the things that go into a Tesla — not all, more than half the prices — are trending down in six months from now,” Musk said at Tesla’s 2022 Annual Meeting of Stockholders.

Coming sooner: ETH devs move up the date for Merge

The long-awaited Merge looks to be ahead of schedule, with Ethereum core developers Tim Beiko and Terence Tsao agreeing on a developer call Thursday to tentatively set the date of the Merge for Sept. 15. The previously estimated date from Beiko was Sept. 19, and suggested that the final preparation work is going smoothly after the final Goerli testnet merge went off without a hitch this week.

Coinbase posts $1.1B loss in Q2 on ‘fast and furious’ crypto downturn

Major crypto exchange Coinbase posted a whopping Q2 loss of $1.1 billion, citing a “fast and furious” crypto downturn during the quarter. The firm noted that Q2 was a “tough quarter” as trading volume and transaction revenue fell 30% and 35%, respectively. It marks the second consecutive quarter of loss for the company this year. “The current downturn came fast and furious, and we are seeing customer behavior mirror that of past down markets,” the firm wrote in a shareholder letter posted on Tuesday.

Decentralized apps on Polygon hit 37,000, rocketing 400% this year

The number of DApps on Ethereum scaling platform Polygon topped 37,000 this week, marking a 400% increase since the start of 2022. The project provided a breakdown of DApp projects built on Polygon, which notably showed that “74% of teams integrated exclusively on Polygon, while 26% deployed on both Polygon and Ethereum.” Polygon also stated that its ecosystem has now seen more than “142 million unique user addresses and $5 billion in assets secured,” with around 1.6 billion transactions processed on the network to date.

Anonymous user sends ETH from Tornado Cash to prominent figures following sanctions

One day after the U.S. Treasury sanctioned crypto mixer Tornado Cash over its alleged role in money laundering operations, intervals of 0.1 Ether transactions began being sent from the smart contract to prominent figures such as Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong and American television host Jimmy Fallon. The move appears to be a critique or satirical commentary on the U.S. government’s current policy of also sanctioning addresses that interacted with Tornado Cash.

Winners and Losers

At the end of the week, Bitcoin (BTC) is at $23,840.93, Ether (ETH) at $1,882.20 and XRP at $0.37. The total market cap is at $1.13 trillion, according to CoinMarketCap.

Among the biggest 100 cryptocurrencies, the top three altcoin gainers of the week are Celsius (CEL) at 93.85%, Ankr (ANKR) at 46.99% and Decred (DCR) at 26.34%.  

The top three altcoin losers of the week are ApeCoin (APE) at 9.03%, Curve DAO Token (CRV) at 5.01% and Kusama (KSM) at 4.53%.

For more info on crypto prices, make sure to read Cointelegraph’s market analysis.

Most Memorable Quotations

“A senior living community has almost no exposure to the crypto ecosystem unless their grandchildren tell them about it.” 

Owen Robertson, marketing associate at Dominant Strategies

“The fact that I don’t have an alternative to Facebook is the reason why Facebook is a monopoly. But if it was on a blockchain, I could transmit data freely, there could become [different] Facebooks.” 

Yat Siu, co-founder of Animoca Brands

“In the past six months or so, we’ve seen valuations on companies come down to a bit more realistic valuations, and it’s become a great time to begin allocating capital.” 

Gerard Berile, venture and investment principal at Wave Financial

“Going forward, that mentality towards risk management while still being bullish over the long term is very important. […] You can be bullish on crypto, but you can still sell out of the market.” 

Jeffrey Gao, CEO of Cypherpunk Holdings 

“Scalability isn’t just like some boring thing where you just need like ‘cost numbers go down’ scalability, I think actually enables and unlocks entirely new classes of applications.” 

Vitalik Buterin, co-founder of Ethereum

“So I think institutional adoption is where it’s going, and the institutions are what is going to enable […] that killer app for consumers to really bring crypto and DeFi to the next level.”

Boris Alergant, head of DeFi markets at Ripple Labs

Prediction of the Week 

$29K Bitcoin is closer than you might expect, according to derivatives data

With Bitcoin’s price continuing to battle $24,000 resistance, facing rejection on Aug. 10 but managing not to be knocked off the 52-day-long ascending channel, Cointelegraph market analyst Marcel Pechman suggested the price could eventually hit $29,000 by October. He pointed to a bullish chart formation with a support level of $22,500 that indicates the price could climb to just under $30,000. Pechman also noted that while BTC derivatives data show a lack of interest from leveraged longs, there is no indication of a surprise crash being priced into the market.

FUD of the Week 

ASIC chair troubled by sheer amount of ‘risk-taking’ crypto investors

Joe Longo, the chairman of the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC), has raised alarm bells over the number of Aussies that invested in “unregulated, volatile” crypto assets during the pandemic. As part of a media release on Thursday, Longo pointed to ASIC research from November 2021 that found that crypto was the second most common investment product, with 44% of those surveyed reporting holding it. Out of those investors, 25% indicated that crypto assets were the only investment class they were involved in.

Cross-chain bridge RenBridge laundered $540M in hacking proceeds: Elliptic

According to a Wednesday report from blockchain analytics firm Elliptic, crypto bridge RenBridge has facilitated the laundering of at least $540 million in hacking proceeds since 2020. According to the report, the laundering was conducted via a process known as chain hopping — converting one form of cryptocurrency into another and moving it across multiple blockchains.

Tornado Cash co-founder reports being kicked off GitHub as industry reacts to sanctions

Tornado Cash co-founder Roman Semenov claimed his account on developer platform GitHub was suspended on Monday. Semenov noted that, despite not being individually named as a Specially Designated National by the U.S. Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control, he seemed to be facing repercussions relating to the Treasury’s allegations that Tornado Cash laundered more than $7 billion worth of crypto.

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Decentralized autonomous organizations come in all sizes and flavors. Some can seem sweet, others turn sour. It can be fun and interesting to create one that suits your needs and satisfies your hunger for something new.

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How Bitcoin whales make a splash in markets and move prices

Are the whales selling in this bear market? A deep dive into their on-chain data.

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