fbpx
Connect with us

Bit Coin

While Stocks Rebound, Analysts Discuss Bitcoin’s Decoupling, Gold Markets Remain ‘Under Pressure’

Published

on

While Stocks Rebound, Analysts Discuss Bitcoin’s Decoupling, Gold Markets Remain ‘Under Pressure’

While Stocks Rebound, Analysts Discuss Bitcoin's Decoupling, Gold Markets Remain 'Under Pressure'

U.S. equities markets jumped on Thursday as stock traders saw some relief after a number of weekly losses. All the major stock indexes rebounded after falling for nearly eight weeks in a row, while the crypto economy took some losses on Thursday, losing roughly 4% against the U.S. dollar during the past 24 hours. Meanwhile gold has been hanging below the $1,850 per ounce mark as Kitco’s Neils Christensen says gold markets remain “under pressure, seeing no major buying momentum.”

Analyst Says ‘Doom and Gloom’ Predictions ‘May Have Been Overdone’ Amid Stock Market Rebound

The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, the Nasdaq, and NYSE composite all rallied during Thursday’s trading sessions. The S&P 500 rose about 2% reaching 4,057.84 by the closing bell, while Nasdaq spiked 2.7%, hitting 11,740.65.

Markets check: It’s a better day as stocks continued to rebound from the lowest levels in over a year.

Nasdaq 100 is currently up 2.99% https://t.co/SvxNwDuX3N pic.twitter.com/gbsgAlPP8B

— Bloomberg Markets (@markets) May 26, 2022

The Dow Jones jumped around 1.6% on Thursday afternoon, as the index recorded gains for the fifth straight day in a row. Quincy Krosby, LPL Financial’s chief equity strategist, believes the rebound may be a sign that some of last week’s doom and gloom predictions were overhyped.

“Although this was an expected, and highly talked about potential ‘oversold’ rally, the underpinning for today’s market climb higher, suggests that last week’s doom and gloom about the all-important U.S. consumer may have been overdone, along with the dire recession headlines,” Krosby told CNBC’s Tanaya Macheel and Jesse Pound on Thursday.

Many Believe Cryptos Have Decoupled, Alex Krüger Says ‘Worst Case Scenario for Crypto Is Here’

Meanwhile, amid the equities rebound, the cryptocurrency economy faltered again on Thursday, losing 4% during the past 24 hours of trading. Bitcoin (BTC) lost a small percentage on Thursday dropping roughly 0.7%.

Ethereum (ETH), however, lost around 6.9%, alongside a number of alternative crypto assets that saw deeper losses than bitcoin. While stock markets have improved and crypto assets have not, a number of traders have been discussing crypto decoupling from stocks in terms of correlation.

Crypto Twitter: crypto did not decouple!

Nasdaq: +4% this week

ETH: -3% this week (-13% open to trough)

— Alex Krüger (@krugermacro) May 26, 2022

The economist and trader Alex Krüger spoke about crypto decoupling from stocks on Thursday.

“Worst case scenario for crypto is here,” Krüger said. “Apathy and decoupling. The correlation with equities is now broken. It’s been largely gone since Monday afternoon. Now equities bounce alone.” After his statement, Krüger doubled down on his commentary. “Watch people who don’t trade and barely watch charts or correlations disagree with this tweet. It’s ok. Everybody copes differently,” Krüger added.

While Stocks Rebound, Analysts Discuss Bitcoin's Decoupling, Gold Markets Remain 'Under Pressure'
Chart shared by the Stacks podcast host Luke Martin, who discussed crypto decoupling on Thursday.

The bitcoin proponent Luke Martin, host of the Stacks podcast, also talked about digital currencies not bouncing back with equities markets.

“Seeing lots of tweets about stocks [and] crypto decoupling, and crypto not bouncing with stocks,” Martin tweeted. “Charting gives a better picture of what’s happening: 1/ We had high correlation 2/ Luna collapse leads to more severe crypto selloff 3/ Post collapse crypto not making up the difference.”

As Gold Markets Slump, Peter Schiff Discusses the US GDP Contraction and Bitcoin’s Decoupling

Gold has also not increased in value and remains under the $1,850 per ounce price range against the U.S. dollar. 30-day statistics show an ounce of fine gold is down 1.67% and 0.27% was lost during the past 24 hours. On Thursday, Kitco’s Neils Christensen discussed gold’s slump in a report that highlights the recent U.S. Commerce Department report that notes the first-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) declined at a 1.5% annual rate. “The gold market is not seeing much reaction to the disappointing economic data,” Christensen explained on Thursday.

Gold bug and economist Peter Schiff talked about the GDP shrinking 1.5% and also mentioned that bitcoin (BTC) has decoupled from Nasdaq. “The U.S. economy, supposedly the strongest it’s ever been, contracted by 1.5% in Q1, .2% more than analysts expected,” Schiff said on Thursday. “If [the] GDP contracts again in Q2, then the economy is officially in a recession. If GDP contracts when the economy is so [strong], imagine what happens when it’s weak,” the economist added.

Schiff continued on Thursday and made sure to throw salt on bitcoin’s recent market wounds. Schiff remarked:

Is bitcoin finally breaking free of its high correlation with the Nasdaq? While tech stocks are rising today Bitcoin is falling, almost breaking below $28K. My guess is that Bitcoin will continue to maintain its positive correlation with the Nasdaq, but only when it’s falling.

What do you think about the current state of markets and the economy? Let us know what you think about this subject in the comments section below.

Jamie Redman

Jamie Redman is the News Lead at Bitcoin.com News and a financial tech journalist living in Florida. Redman has been an active member of the cryptocurrency community since 2011. He has a passion for Bitcoin, open-source code, and decentralized applications. Since September 2015, Redman has written more than 5,000 articles for Bitcoin.com News about the disruptive protocols emerging today.

Image Credits: Shutterstock, Pixabay, Wiki Commons

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. It is not a direct offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation or endorsement of any products, services, or companies. Bitcoin.com does not provide investment, tax, legal, or accounting advice. Neither the company nor the author is responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods or services mentioned in this article.

Go to Source

Bit Coin

Bitcoin Miner Sell-Offs Could Keep Prices Low, Says JP Morgan

Published

on

Bitcoin Miner Sell-Offs Could Keep Prices Low, Says JP Morgan

Strategists at JPMorgan Chase & Co. believe the current Bitcoin sell-off by miners could make it difficult for the price of the asset to bounce back, especially if the trend continues.

In a note released yesterday, they pointed out that publicly listed Bitcoin miners account for 20% of all reported Bitcoin sales in May and June. It’s likely that private miners are also selling at the same rate or even higher, given that they have limited access to the capital markets.

The massive sell-off is a sharp turn in the strategy that has mostly been about holding block rewards until the market conditions get better. But the drop in Bitcoin prices and its effect on miners’ profitability means many are now struggling to meet operating costs.

According to the strategists,

Offloading of Bitcoins by miners, in order to meet ongoing costs or to deliver, could continue into Q3 if their profitability fails to improve.

Already, it has likely “weighed on prices in May and June, though there is a risk that this pressure could continue.”

However, JP Morgan strategists point out that it’s not all gloomy. One silver lining is a drop in the cost of mining Bitcoin from around $18k – $20k earlier in the year to $15k this month. This is due to the drop in hash rate and mining difficulty over the past two weeks.

Meanwhile, the cost of production varies based on the size of the miner. According to Arcane Crypto, large miners spend around $8,000 to produce one Bitcoin. Meanwhile, Securitize Capital says the cost of production might be over $20k for some miners after adding overhead costs and interest rates.

Bitcoin Price 69% Away From ATH

Bitcoin price has declined by more than half compared to its value at the beginning of the year. It’s also down 69% from its all-time high as it hovers around the low 20k range in the last few weeks.

Several factors have pushed the crypto markets over the edge, including the crash of Terra’s ecosystem and the near-insolvency of crypto firms such as Celsius and 3AC. But the Fed hike in interest rates has been the primary factor behind the drop.

Almost every other niche in the space, like non-fungible tokens and decentralized finance, has reported losses too. With most miners also having debt obligations, selling their Bitcoin stash appears as the best course of action to stay afloat.

Disclaimer

All the information contained on our website is published in good faith and for general information purposes only. Any action the reader takes upon the information found on our website is strictly at their own risk.

Go to Source

Continue Reading

Bit Coin

Bitcoin Energy Consumption Declines as Miners Grapple With Falling Revenue

Published

on

Bitcoin Energy Consumption Declines as Miners Grapple With Falling Revenue

Bitcoin mining is no longer consuming as much energy as before, according to a Cambridge Bitcoin Electricity Consumption Index report, which shows a 25% decline in energy use since the start of the month.

Per the index, the current energy consumption of Bitcoin is 10.65 gigawatts, significantly lower than the 14.34-gigawatt on June 6. This means its annualized consumption is at 93.33 terawatt-hours, putting it below countries like Argentina and Norway in energy consumption.

At its peak, the BTC network needed 16.09 GW of power. The drop in the consumption from its record high of 150 terawatt-hours in May is likely due to the drop in mining hash rate. 

Bitcoin hash rate is the computing power needed to create a block on the Bitcoin network and has dropped to 199.225 exahash per second (EH/s) over the last two weeks. This came after the mining difficulty reached a record high of 231.428 EH/s on June 13. It has now dropped by almost 14% since then.

The index estimates the energy consumption by using a profitability threshold using “different types of mining equipment as the starting point.” 

With Bitcoin prices nosediving to below $20,000 this month, some miners have also gone offline as mining proved less profitable. This explains the consecutive drop in the consumption and hash rate.

Miners are Selling Their Bitcoin Holdings

Additionally, the drop in the price of Bitcoin has left several miners in a lurch as they struggle to sustain their operations. A recent report by Arcane research shows that publicly traded Bitcoin miners sold all the coins they mined in May.

This is usually against the strategy of most miners, which is to hold their Bitcoin for better market conditions. But with profitability nosediving and many miners struggling to generate a positive cash flow, they are selling their holdings. 

According to the report, many miners sold their Bitcoin to cover operational expenses and pay off debts. One of such is Bitfarms which decided to sell 3000 Bitcoin for $63 million to improve corporate liquidity.

Energy consumption of Bitcoin mining has been one of the major criticisms of the network and cryptocurrency industry. But recent research by Michel Khazzaka reveals that the traditional banking sector uses 56% more energy.

What do you think about this subject? Write to us and tell us!

Disclaimer

All the information contained on our website is published in good faith and for general information purposes only. Any action the reader takes upon the information found on our website is strictly at their own risk.

Go to Source

Continue Reading

Bit Coin

Coinbase to Offer Nano Bitcoin Futures Contracts via Third Party Brokerages

Published

on

Coinbase to Offer Nano Bitcoin Futures Contracts via Third Party Brokerages

Coinbase will list a derivatives product called the nano futures contract on Monday.

This will be the first product listed on the Coinbase Derivatives Exchange, offering investors the opportunity to buy a contract linked to the price of one-hundredth of a bitcoin. Customers can purchase the Nano futures contract through third-party brokerages. Customers will not be able to buy the nano futures contract from Coinbase directly until the exchange receives a license to operate as a futures commission merchant. The exchange first applied for the license on Sept. 16, 2021.

U.S. customers have a healthy appetite for crypto derivatives

Coinbase floated the idea of bringing derivatives to its U.S. customer base after purchasing derivatives exchange FairX in January this year.

Americans have long been trading derivative products on foreign exchanges, sinking their teeth into high-leverage products that U.S. exchanges have lacked, indicted by the volume of crypto derivative trades in December 2021 surpassing that of spot trading. Binance alone recorded $52.5 billion in derivative trade volume during the 24 hours ending Friday afternoon, compared to $12.7 billion in spot products. Coinbase enjoyed $1.7 million in spot trading during the same period.

It’s worth bearing in mind that the new nano futures contract will not offer leverage-type bets that drive volume on exchanges like Binance.

Challenges Coinbase faces

A report by Barron’s suggests that it would take a long time for derivatives products to generate significant income for the company.

The new Coinbase product will enter a market of established crypto derivative products, while the company battles cash flow problems.

In March, the CME Group announced micro futures contracts linked to one-tenth of the price of bitcoin and Ethereum.

To add pressure, Moody’s Investors Services recently reduced Coinbase’s guaranteed senior unsecured notes from Ba2 to Ba1, relegating its corporate debt to “junk” status, with the potential for future downgrades. Ba ratings are assigned by Moody’s to credit obligations containing speculative components, considered to be a serious credit risk. Moody’s cited Coinbase’s reduced revenue and cash flow due to the current crypto market downturn as reasons for the downgrade. Coinbase’s recent employee layoff did not count in its favor, with the rating agency still seeing threats to the company’s profitability.

Dan Dolev, a senior analyst at Mizuho, believes that the new product does not address the central issue of competitors offering zero trading fees, which would severely affect revenue if Coinbase were to compete.

Coinbase’s shares fell precipitously on May 3, 2022, from $130.15 to $62.71 at market close on Friday.

What do you think about this subject? Write to us and tell us!

Disclaimer

All the information contained on our website is published in good faith and for general information purposes only. Any action the reader takes upon the information found on our website is strictly at their own risk.

Go to Source

Continue Reading
Home | Latest News | Cryptocurrency | Bit Coin | While Stocks Rebound, Analysts Discuss Bitcoin’s Decoupling, Gold Markets Remain ‘Under Pressure’
a

Market

Trending