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CoinSwitch Kuber becomes crypto unicorn, Bitcoin returns to a $1T market cap, and a bullish 2017 Ethereum fractal resurfaces: Hodler’s Digest, Oct. 3-9

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CoinSwitch Kuber becomes crypto unicorn, Bitcoin returns to a $1T market cap, and a bullish 2017 Ethereum fractal resurfaces: Hodler’s Digest, Oct. 3-9

Coming every Saturday, Hodler’s Digest will help you track every single important news story that happened this week. The best (and worst) quotes, adoption and regulation highlights, leading coins, predictions and much more — a week on Cointelegraph in one link.

Top Stories This Week

Indian crypto exchange CoinSwitch Kuber raises $260M

Indian crypto exchange CoinSwitch Kuber closed a $260 million Series C funding round this week at a valuation of $1.91 billion, adding itself to the prestigious unicorn club.

The funding round was led by Coinbase Ventures and Andreessen Horowitz, the latter of which has emerged as a leading crypto venture capital firm. Following the $1.91 billion valuation, CoinSwitch Kuber is said to be India’s most valued crypto firm.

Speaking of funding, Sky Mavis, the developers of the immensely popular NFT game Axie Infinity, announced a $152 million Series B funding round on Tuesday. Unsurprisingly, Andreessen Horowitz backed the funding round along with participation from FTX.

Ethereum fractal from 2017 that resulted in 7,000% gains for ETH appears again in 2021

The same set of bullish indicators that sent Ether (ETH) surging 7,000% in 2017 has appeared again in 2021, suggesting that the asset is on track to reach the moon before Dogecoin (DOGE).

The fractal indicator from 2017 consists of at least four technical patterns that were instrumental in pushing the price up, including the relative strength index (RSI), stochastic RSI, bullish hammer, and a Fibonacci retracement level. 

At the time of writing, Ether is worth $3,600, indicating that the price could hit $13,000 if history repeats itself.

Federal High Court of Nigeria approves eNaira CBDC rollout

The Nigerian Federal High Court has approved the rollout of the eNaira central bank digital currency (CBDC).  

The CBDC was launched for beta testing on the nation’s 61st Independence Day celebration on Oct. 1 and has now been given the green light to circulate alongside its fiat counterpart. The CBDC is being touted as a faster, cheaper and more secure option for transactions. It will also be supported by an eNaira wallet. 

The official eNaira website says that the digital version of the Nigerian naira will be made available universally, stating that “anybody can hold it.”

Judge rejects XRP hodlers’ bid to join SEC against Ripple case as defendants

The ongoing legal dispute between Ripple Labs and the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has taken another turn as U.S. District Judge Analisa Torres ruled on Monday that individuals holding XRP tokens cannot act in Ripple’s ongoing lawsuit as defendants. 

The ruling came after several ambitious XRP hodlers aimed to file “friends of the court” briefs which, if granted, would enable them to join the bloody battle as defendants, alongside Ripple, against SEC assertions of XRP being a security. 

The judge said the ruling was for their own good, as it would compel the trigger-happy SEC to take action against the XRP hodlers as well. However, it was determined that they could participate as “amicus curiae” — a party that is not involved in the litigation but is allowed by the court to advise or provide information.

Bitcoin returns to $1T asset as BTC price blasts to $55K

Bitcoin (BTC) returned to its $1 trillion asset status this week as the price surged past $55,000. 

It appears that the damage caused by the China mining ban in May has been wiped clean, suggesting that there could be a run to new all-time highs in the coming weeks or months. At the time of writing, BTC is worth $54,900 and sits 14.9% below the all-time high. 

“Honestly, I think we’ll be continuing to see strength on Bitcoin,” Cointelegraph contributor Michaël van de Poppe said, adding: 

“USDT pairs will be fine on altcoins, but perhaps we’ll be having 6-8 weeks of some corrections on the $BTC pairs, before a new party starts. December/January is often the best period to buy alts.”

Winners and Losers

At the end of the week, Bitcoin is at $54,176, Ether at $3,612 and XRP at $1.07. The total market cap is at $2.30 trillion, according to CoinMarketCap. 

Among the biggest 100 cryptocurrencies, the top three altcoin gainers of the week are SHIBA INU (SHIB) at 244.87%, Fantom (FTM) at 74.68% and Axie Infinity (AXS) at 47.02%.

The top three altcoin losers of the week are eCash (XEC) at -10.20%, Huobi Token (HT) at -8.70% and Amp (AMP) at -6.85%.

For more info on crypto prices, make sure to read Cointelegraph’s market analysis.

Most Memorable Quotations

“Policymakers should implement global standards for crypto assets and enhance their ability to monitor the crypto ecosystem by addressing data gaps. […] Emerging markets faced with cryptoization risks should strengthen macroeconomic policies and consider the benefits of issuing central bank digital currencies.”

International Monetary Fund

“For us, digital assets are not about payments per se. They’re about a new computing paradigm – a programmable computer that is accessible everywhere and to anyone and owned by millions of people globally.”

Bank of America Securities

“We did a survey of our membership, and it was very impressive: 110 countries are at some stage of looking into CBDCs.”

Kristalina Georgieva, managing director of the International Monetary Fund

“What a crazy concept this is, that we as a country embrace so many bright, young, talented people to come up with a replacement for our reserve currency. […] I wish all this passion and energy that went to crypto was directed towards making the United States stronger.”

Ken Griffin, founder of Citadel LLC 

“The best way to look at it, if you’re an investor, either you believe in decentralized finance and centralized finance, and you believe in Bitcoin and Ethereum and the blockchain, or you don’t. If you don’t, stay in gold as a hedge, and if you do, tip into it.”

Kevin O’Leary, Shark Tank Judge

“I’m not going to get into any one token, but I think the securities laws are quite clear — if you’re raising money […] and the investing public […] have a reasonable anticipation of profits based on the efforts of others, that fits within the securities law.”

Gary Gensler, chairman of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission

“My bill with Congresswoman Ross would set disclosure requirements when ransoms are paid and allow us to learn how much money cybercriminals are siphoning from American entities to finance criminal enterprises — and help us go after them.”

Elizabeth Warren, U.S. senator

“Bitcoin’s $50,000 resistance point since May appears ripe to become the crypto’s support value in 4Q.”

Mike McGlone, senior commodity strategist at Bloomberg

Prediction of the Week 

BTC bull run has ‘at least 6 months to go’ — 5 things to watch in Bitcoin this week

This week saw Bitcoin crack the $50,000 mark and continue upward past $55,000. Although upward price action accompanied the start of September, Bitcoin showed more of a downward trend for most of the month. Price action for BTC has posted upward pressure so far for October, but time will tell how the rest of the month plays out.

On a broader scale, in an Oct. 2 tweet, stock-to-flow model creator PlanB expressed the possibility that the current Bitcoin bull run still has several months of upward action ahead. “My guess: this 2nd leg of the bull market will have at least 6 more months to go,” PlanB said in the tweet, posting one of his BTC stock-to-flow models.

Several other factors are also relevant to determining Bitcoin’s outlook, including analyses of the asset’s hash rate estimates and technical indicators.

FUD of the Week 

‘Evolved Apes’ NFT creator allegedly absconds with $2.7 million

Hodlers of the Evolved Apes NFT avatar project were left gobsmacked this week after one of the developers reportedly went rogue and swiped 798 ETH, worth around $2.9 million.

The anonymous developer who goes by the pseudonym “Evil Ape” is said to have dashed off with all the funds generated from the initial mint of the 10,000 tokenized apes, along with the gains from sales on the secondary market.

Apart from allegedly stealing 798 ETH, Evil Ape also took down the project’s website and Twitter account. There was also a blockchain-based fighting game that was promised by the project’s creators, and while the outlook is grim, the community is driving a recovery initiative dubbed “Fight Back Apes.”

Billionaire Ken Griffin slams crypto as ‘jihadist call’ against the greenback

Hedge fund manager Ken Griffin was the source of some mixed FUD this week as he slammed crypto as a “jihadist call” against the U.S. dollar. 

Griffin, who is the founder of the $38 billion hedge fund Citadel LLC, and said that crypto is a “Jihadist call that we don’t believe in the dollar,” as he took aim at the pesky youth for spending so much time working on digital assets.  

“I wish all this passion and energy that went to crypto was directed towards making the United States stronger,” he added. 

The Citadel founder, however, stated that his firm is yet to enter the crypto sector due to the “lack of regulatory certainty,” suggesting that he’s more worried about compliance than a jihadist call against the precious greenback.

Gensler confirms SEC won’t ban crypto… but Congress could

SEC Chairman Gary Gensler said on Tuesday that his agency does not have the authority or intention to ban crypto, stating, “That would be up to Congress.”

However, Gensler highlighted that many crypto tokens fall under the enforcement power of the SEC. He singled out “financial stability issues” that arise from stablecoins as a key area of focus for the agency.

“It’s a matter of how we get this field within the investor consumer protection that we have and also working with bank regulators and others — how do we ensure that the Treasury Department has it within Anti-Money Laundering, tax compliance?” Gensler said.

Best Cointelegraph Features

Beyond Bitcoin: The future of digital assets is bigger than the first crypto

While Bitcoin is the most recognizable digital asset, it’s just one of many that are here to evolve financial services globally.

Money in 2030: A future where DeFi and CBDCs can work together

In coexistence with mutual benefits, decentralized finance and central bank digital currencies will finally make money universally available worldwide.

What it’s like when the banks collapse: Iceland 2008 firsthand

“Imagine if the money that you have in your bank account now would suddenly buy you 1/10th of what it had? That happened in a week.”

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PlanB Admits $98,000 November Bitcoin Price Target ‘First Miss’

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PlanB Admits $98,000 November Bitcoin Price Target ‘First Miss’

Some investors reacted angrily after PlanB admitted that his model failed to accurately predict the price of bitcoin (BTC) for November.

The popular crypto analyst aimed for a $98,000 BTC price for the end of this month. Just last week, he insisted the price target was still possible, even as markets declined.

PlanB correctly predicted BTC reaching $47,000 in August and $43,000 in September. He slightly missed the $63,000 target for October, but said the three percent “rounding error was close enough for me.”

Now the pseudonymous Dutch investor says that his $98,000 prediction for this month “will probably be a first miss,” according to a tweet posted on Nov 25. He did not give an exact reason for the failure.

“I see this miss as an outlier, a black swan, that has not occured in the data last 10 years,” he explained.

He spoke as the price of bitcoin tanked to $55,300 on Nov 23, down 20% from its record high of $69,000 reached on Nov 10. Some analysts are blaming the decline on fears of the impending Mt. Gox BTC repayments.

Bitcoin ‘stock-to-flow model still on track to $100,000’

PlanB, who claims 25 years of financial markets experience, is famed for creating the stock-to-flow (S2F) price prediction model. The model is based on the ratio of the current supply (stock) of an asset or commodity to its annual production (flow).

It can be applied to any asset with limited supply really, and the Dutch analyst did so with bitcoin in 2019. The idea is that since the bitcoin supply diminishes with every “halving” event every four years, it will create boom and bust cycles. He then uses these cycles to forecast prices.

PlanB explained that the missed November target relates only to the “floor model,” one of his three price prediction tools. Unlike the S2F, the so-called floor model relies on price and on-chain data, he says.

He insisted the stock-to-flow model had not been “affected and indeed [was] on track towards $100,000.”

Justin Stagner put the miss into perspective. “[It is] not like you just barely missed it either. I mean, its looking like you really blew this one,” he stated.

Mounting criticism

Some investors reacted angrily to PlanB’s admission of failure, blaming the crypto analyst for their financial losses.

“I used my student loans along with a short term loan using my house as collateral to go all in at $68k because you told me it would reach $98k. Now I’ll be homeless and without a degree…” complained Twitter user Brett Lethbridge.

Another lamented: “Now your stock-to-flow model is not reliable anymore. Most people incurred great losses because of your prediction.”

However, several other people replying defended PlanB, and even thanked him for his predictions. Often, they defaulted to a familiar refrain, a disclaimer of sorts, that his forecasts are “not financial advice. Do your own research.”

PlanB himself averred:

It is indeed absurd that when you publish information for free, somehow people make you responsible for their investment decisions and actions. Everybody is responsible for their own (investment) decisions and actions. Blaming others is a sign of immaturity: NGMI (not going to make it).

The Dutch analyst has faced criticism before. He’s often accused of adjusting his price predictions lower once it becomes clear that the S2F would miss its target, and be invalidated.

Disclaimer

All the information contained on our website is published in good faith and for general information purposes only. Any action the reader takes upon the information found on our website is strictly at their own risk.

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Bitcoin (BTC) Falls Below $56,000 After Failure to Sustain Rebound Rally

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Bitcoin (BTC) Falls Below $56,000 After Failure to Sustain Rebound Rally

After initiating a bounce on Nov 25, Bitcoin (BTC) decreased considerably the next day and is back at its weekly lows.

Since Nov 19, BTC had been hovering above the $56,500 support. This is both a horizontal support area and the 0.382 Fib retracement support level.

Yesterday, technical indicators started to show some bullish signs.

After 15 successive lower momentum bars, the MACD finally created one higher (green icon). This was a sign that the short-term trend is gradually picking steam. 

Furthermore, the RSI generated a bullish divergence (green line). This is a bullish occurrence in which a price decrease is not accompanied by the same increase in selling momentum.

However, BTC reversed its trend on Nov 26 and is in the process of creating a bearish engulfing candlestick (red icon). This is a type of bearish candlestick in which the entire previous day’s increase is negated the next day. There are still more than 15 hours until the daily close, but the start of the day looks extremely bearish.

If a breakdown were to occur, the next support area would be found at $53,250.

Short-term BTC movement

The six-hour chart shows that BTC has been decreasing under a descending resistance line since Nov 19. This is a sign that BTC is correcting.

Furthermore, BTC created a lower high relative to the price on Nov 20. This is considered a bearish sign since it didn’t have enough strength to reach its previous highs.

The even shorter-term two-hour chart shows that BTC is trading inside a symmetrical triangle and is very close to its support line, which coincides with the $56,500 horizontal support area. 

Therefore, a breakdown from it would likely accelerate the drop.

Wave count

The wave count suggests that BTC is in the C wave (red) of an A-B-C corrective structure. This means that after the correction is complete, the upward movement is expected to resume. 

The sub-wave count is shown in pink. It shows that BTC is in wave five of the correction, which is the final phase. 

There is a considerable Fib confluence between $53,250-$53,800, created by: 

  • Length of sub-wave one (pink)
  • External retracement of sub-wave four (white)
  • Length of wave A (red)

These levels also coincide with the long-term Fib support outlined in the first section. Therefore, BTC is expected to reach a low in this area before reversing.

For BeInCrypto’s previous Bitcoin (BTC) analysis, click here.

Disclaimer

All the information contained on our website is published in good faith and for general information purposes only. Any action the reader takes upon the information found on our website is strictly at their own risk.

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South Korea Crypto P2P Trading Hits New Highs as Regulators Debate Taxation

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South Korea Crypto P2P Trading Hits New Highs as Regulators Debate Taxation

P2P crypto trading has hit a new all-time high in South Korea, data from LocalBitcoins shows. The jump in P2P trading comes at a time when there is a lot of uncertainty surrounding regulation in the country.

Peer-to-peer trading of cryptocurrencies in South Korea is hitting all-time highs as regulators offer some ambivalent comments on regulation. Data from LocalBitcoins shows that over 353 million in Korean Won was traded in the first week of November. This is a significant jump from previous weekly volumes.

South Korean P2P trading volume: Coin Dance

Pondering crypto tax

The increased interest in P2P trading comes as regulators are working on implementing a regulatory framework. South Korea, already one of the leading governments when it comes to cryptocurrency market regulation, is doubling down on its bid to prevent any illicit activity.

The high P2P volume may be a result of investors seeking to make the most of their capital as regulators bear down. Recent reports have indicated that there is some confusion among investors because of the lack of clarity surrounding regulation.

One of the primary issues is the implementation of crypto taxation. South Korea officials announced that it would tax the asset class, to the tune of 20%.

But lately, reports have suggested that there could be a change or complete repeal to this taxation scheme. The taxation law will come into effect in 2022, though it remains unclear about what specific form it will take.

NFT regulation is also throwing more confusion into the mix, as the Financial Services Commission (FSC) said in early November that it would not subject the special asset to taxation. However, later, the Vice Chairman of the organization said that tax provisions would be made for NFTs.

Uncertainty still looms

At the moment, it’s uncertain exactly what the regulatory landscape in South Korea will look like, given the lack of conclusion so far. The South Korean opposition party challenged the taxation scheme and pushed for a delay to 2023, demanding a more generous tax plan.

Exchanges are one of the major elements of the industry under the microscope, with 2021 seeing the first regulatory compliance certifications being sent to them. Several exchanges have had to shut down following regulatory scrutiny.

As it stands, it’s unclear what the specifics of crypto regulation will be. However, it’s almost certain that there will be a framework implemented, and whether or not it is stricter than investors like remains to be seen.

Disclaimer

All the information contained on our website is published in good faith and for general information purposes only. Any action the reader takes upon the information found on our website is strictly at their own risk.

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